:rimshot:
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The polls have tended to be on %. Putting into seats is normally not so close. What do polls know, anyway.
It certainly needs the youth vote to be close. I can see the Tories extending the majority but not the landslide they were expecting in April. If this means labour finally become credible opposition then the election will have been worth it I guess.
The colours on the poll are all wrong by the way. All wrong. Sort it out moggs. Place is a laughing stock.
The polls have consistently had the Tories at 40 per cent plus - Tory majority of 60 to 100 for me.
I think it could be 70 - 80 for the conservatives possibly up to 100 if all goes well for them.
Unless the 18-24 turn out really is 90% as one of the polls (Survation I think) has presumed
If turnout is high, Tories to rule a hung Parliament
If turnout is lower, Tories to have 60 seat majority.
I reckon Tories will win with a majority of 35 plus the Unionists in Northern Ireland (may be fewer of those this time).
May will struggle to control her party - either the centrists or the right wingers (like the one who will talk to UKIP 4 times a year) will be her downfall. If it's the right that gets her, then Boris or Rudd will take over. If it's the centrists, who knows.
On the other side of the coin, should Labour lose out, Corbyn will stand down but it'll be important for the party to elect a leader that is on the political left. We've seen a great surge in Labour's vote now that Corbyn's message has been allowed to reach the masses. One can only ponder what this election might have been had the media not destroyed Corbyn from day one. 5 more years and a left leaning opposition with a leader that cannot be damaged might see the Tories dumped out of power at the next election.
Gutless Welsh voters succumbing to same old brainwashing from English political parties
I think Labour have missed a great opportunity , this would have been so close, isolating people like Hilary Benn , Alan Milburn ,Clive Lewis has spoilt it for me , not supporting the left wing doesn't make you a Blairite , and that loathing of the Blair years and policy has blinkered the party,should have picked the modern looking best bits out and then moved left .