The Run In ( achievable ? )

The run-in :

Cardiff City

Ipswich Town (A), Bristol City (H), Brentford (A), Barnsley (H), Birmingham City (H), Derby County (A), Burton Albion (H), Sheffield United (A), Wolves (H), Aston Villa (A), Norwich City (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Hull City (A), Reading (H).

Aston Villa

Preston (H), Sheffield Wednesday (A), QPR (H), Sunderland (A), Wolves (H), Bolton (A), Hull City (A), Reading (H), Norwich City (A), Cardiff City (H), Leeds United (H), Ipswich Town (A), Derby County (H), Millwall (A).

Derby County

Leeds United (H), Reading (A), Fulham (H), QPR (A), Nottingham Forest (A), Cardiff City (H), Sunderland (H), Preston (A), Bolton (H), Wolves (A), Burton Albion (A), Middlesbrough (H), Aston Villa (A), Barnsley (H).

Fulham

Bristol City (A), Wolves (H), Derby County (A), Sheffield United (H), Preston (A), QPR (H), Norwich City (A), Leeds United (H), Sheffield Wednesday (A), Reading (H), Brentford (H), Millwall (A), Sunderland (H), Birmingham City (A).

Bristol City

Fulham (H), Cardiff City (A), Sheffield Wednesday (H), Preston (A), Burton Albion (A), Ipswich Town (H), Barnsley (A), Brentford (H), Millwall (A), Birmingham City (H), Middlesbrough (A), Hull City (H), Nottingham Forest (A), Sheffield United (H).

Is 26 points from that enough for us ?

The Villa blip is coming just at the right time! We need to focus on the next few games before a tough run of fixures at the end of March/April.

Sheff Utd, wolves & villa are hard games. If we are still in it after those - who knows?
But one game at a time...

Can see us getting a minimum of 21 points from that which should put us comfortably in the playoffs.
Best case I can see is 28 points which should be enough for 2nd spot.

Villa and Derby look to have quite favourable fixtures. Whilst Fulham and Bristol have 3 hard ones coming up.

Pessimistically I think we'll get to 81 points (5W 5D 4L), so safely into the playoffs, if we can turn a few more of those draws & losses into wins who knows ....

My maths may be flawed, however if we continue the rest of the season at an average 1.9pts a game we would total 88 pts - good enough for automatic? :tumbleweed:

maybe not:
Attachment 2150

Quote:

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Originally Posted by life on mars

The run-in :

Cardiff City

Ipswich Town (A), Bristol City (H), Brentford (A), Barnsley (H), Birmingham City (H), Derby County (A), Burton Albion (H), Sheffield United (A), Wolves (H), Aston Villa (A), Norwich City (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Hull City (A), Reading (H).

Aston Villa

Preston (H), Sheffield Wednesday (A), QPR (H), Sunderland (A), Wolves (H), Bolton (A), Hull City (A), Reading (H), Norwich City (A), Cardiff City (H), Leeds United (H), Ipswich Town (A), Derby County (H), Millwall (A).

Derby County

Leeds United (H), Reading (A), Fulham (H), QPR (A), Nottingham Forest (A), Cardiff City (H), Sunderland (H), Preston (A), Bolton (H), Wolves (A), Burton Albion (A), Middlesbrough (H), Aston Villa (A), Barnsley (H).

Fulham

Bristol City (A), Wolves (H), Derby County (A), Sheffield United (H), Preston (A), QPR (H), Norwich City (A), Leeds United (H), Sheffield Wednesday (A), Reading (H), Brentford (H), Millwall (A), Sunderland (H), Birmingham City (A).

Bristol City

Fulham (H), Cardiff City (A), Sheffield Wednesday (H), Preston (A), Burton Albion (A), Ipswich Town (H), Barnsley (A), Brentford (H), Millwall (A), Birmingham City (H), Middlesbrough (A), Hull City (H), Nottingham Forest (A), Sheffield United (H).

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Look at the games in bold and I think it doesn't look so bad for us. both Sheff Wed and Preston can beat anyone on the night, Millwall are no pushovers but we have already played all of them. All the teams around us are playing ech other and some must drop important points. the longer we can keep our noses in front the more they will look to the playoffs I beieve.
They all have to play other contenders.
we have to hopew wolverona win all their games except against us. We need to get 4 points form the two big ones, Derbt and vile, but both look a little shakey. iIhope they shake as much as we did at Christmas.
Second is still more than doable!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Toadstool

Sheff Utd, wolves & villa are hard games. If we are still in it after those - who knows?
But one game at a time...

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Chuck in Derby too, 2 games before Sheffield Utd.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by xsnaggle

Look at the games in bold and I think it doesn't look so bad for us. both Sheff Wed and Preston can beat anyone on the night, Millwall are no pushovers but we have already played all of them. All the teams around us are playing ech other and some must drop important points. the longer we can keep our noses in front the more they will look to the playoffs I beieve.
They all have to play other contenders.
we have to hopew wolverona win all their games except against us. We need to get 4 points form the two big ones, Derbt and vile, but both look a little shakey. iIhope they shake as much as we did at Christmas.
Second is still more than doable!

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Villa were looking unstoppable, not so much now. Same as when we were flying, who would have predicted our post-Amsterdam meltdown?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Chris Pontprennau Blues

maybe not:
Attachment 2150

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The above was unusual totals .


Apparently 86.8 is the average second place .