Quote Originally Posted by Eric the Half a Bee View Post
If 75 points is roughly what is required to make the playoffs we need 2.2 points a game between now and May. That form over a season would give you 101 points.

While 10 points behind Derby (in 6th) doesn't appear to be much, they need 1.61 points a game to get to 75 points (because of their game in hand), which equates to roughly 74 points over the course of the season, so they're on track.

At current rates, Derby would be on 60 points after 37 games. For us to be on 60 points after 37 games we'd need to win all of them.

For us to get to 75 points would mean winning 13, losing 4 or winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 2.
We'll have a much better idea after the next 3 games as we'll have caught up 3 points at least on Derby, Leeds and Norwich if we win them all. There is then the smallest of outside chances of top 6. If we don't, then that's basically it if it's not already too far-fetched.

We still have to win 5 to be sure of staying up, so winning the next 3 would be very helpful for that goal too...