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Thread: Brexit thread

  1. #426

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Thanks.

    Best I better explain (my views ) of a soft or hard Brexit .

    A soft Brexit is one where we have an agreed deal
    ( ie May's deal) with a careful cautious exit .

    A hard Brexit , would be one , where we simply crash out in chaos with no deal.

    With reference to your last paragraph , its intresting as that follows the wish of the people who voted to leave ?

    Hope that better explains my view.
    But that was never hard brexit. That was always no deal. Hard/soft is the type of deal.

    How have the goalposts changed so much? Does no one have any kind of memory any more?

  2. #427

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by lardy View Post
    But that was never hard brexit. That was always no deal. Hard/soft is the type of deal.

    How have the goalposts changed so much? Does no one have any kind of memory any more?
    Well time has moved on , this is just my current view , a simple viewpoint , with no agenda.

    I get the feeling when talking to people, a crash out is becoming a popular choice , probaly born out of boredom , folk have simply had enough, perhaps we should have left out two years ago, to avoid all this groundhog day from all parties.

  3. #428

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Well time has moved on , this is just my current view , a simple viewpoint , with no agenda.

    I get the feeling when talking to people, a crash out is becoming a popular choice , probaly born out of boredom , folk have simply had enough, perhaps we should have left out two years ago, to avoid all this groundhog day from all parties.

    People talk of a crash as flippantly as the council changing bin days.

    People therefore are ****ing stupid if they think this. I’ve gone beyond trying to reason with these people who attribute the EU of their life problems.

  4. #429

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by CardiffIrish2 View Post
    People talk of a crash as flippantly as the council changing bin days.

    People therefore are ****ing stupid if they think this. I’ve gone beyond trying to reason with these people who attribute the EU of their life problems.
    Indeed, why not take the May deal then ??

  5. #430

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Indeed, why not take the May deal then ??
    Because it failed to get through the house on the first attempt and we all know that democracy only happens once.

    It is 'anti-democratic' to ask twice according to Brexiteers. What is good for the goose is good for the gander.

  6. #431

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    Because it failed to get through the house on the first attempt and we all know that democracy only happens once.

    It is 'anti-democratic' to ask twice according to Brexiteers. What is good for the goose is good for the gander.
    Tell that to the opposition party as well , as 62% of it's constituents voted democratly to leave . So why doesn't the opposition vote for the deal and apply the democracy to it's voters and leave .

  7. #432

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Tell that to the opposition party as well , as 62% of it's constituents voted democratly to leave . So why doesn't the opposition vote for the deal and apply the democracy to it's voters and leave .
    Because it doesn't think the deal is a good deal. Do you think politicians should vote for things they disagree with?

  8. #433

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    You may take "opposing views into account" but, as far as the things you mainly post on this board go, you never let them change your opinion. As for "open minded", the current count has you down as posting more than 12,900 messages on here. Now, I'm sure that the large majority of those apply to the globalists v non globalists conflict, so can you show me just ten messages among the many thousand on the subject you have posted which come down on the globalists side - if you are really so open minded, then I'm sure that wouldn't be a problem for you at all.

    As I say, most of us are not open minded when it comes to politics - I certainly wish I was more open minded, but at least I do recognise this failing in myself.

    You mention Paul Manafort, are you seriously suggesting that Donald Trump's relationship with him only dates back to the time when he confirmed he would be running for President? At the very, very least, the number of sackings, convictions and charges against people he has relied on, given jobs to in Government or employed since Donald Trump announced his candidature shows that he his judgment of others is pretty dreadful.
    I know my posts have been quite subtle, but I thought it would have come through that I am not all that interested in politics. I find the rule of law and the corruption aspects more interesting, and the Trump Russia Collusion hoax has certainly revealed some unusual behaviour. We now know how easy it is to utilise state instutions for political purposes, and I would be intrigued to know how widespread these practices are.

    Paul Manafort's problems stem from his dealings in Ukraine, and these predate the short period he spent with the Trump campaige. Like I said, these were investigated by a prior administration, and they declined to prosecute. I don't think we have heard the last of Ukraine either, as we now know at least two sources for the Steele dossier come from there.

  9. #434

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Tell that to the opposition party as well , as 62% of it's constituents voted democratly to leave . So why doesn't the opposition vote for the deal and apply the democracy to it's voters and leave .
    It is estimated ( votes weren't counted by constituency) that at the time of the referendum 61% of Labour held constituencies voted to Leave. This is of course very different to the estimated 65% of Labour voters nationwide who voted to Remain.

    This figure changed to an estimated 56% after the results of the 2017 general election, presumably as some Remain constituencies previously in Tory hands moved to Labour.

    So if you are talking about Labour voters then it would be perfectly consistent for MPs to "apply the democracy to it's (sic) voters" and vote against the deal on the withdrawal agreement!

  10. #435

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by cyril evans awaydays View Post
    It is estimated ( votes weren't counted by constituency) that at the time of the referendum 61% of Labour held constituencies voted to Leave. This is of course very different to the estimated 65% of Labour voters nationwide who voted to Remain.

    This figure changed to an estimated 56% after the results of the 2017 general election, presumably as some Remain constituencies previously in Tory hands moved to Labour.

    So if you are talking about Labour voters then it would be perfectly consistent for MPs to "apply the democracy to it's (sic) voters" and vote against the deal on the withdrawal agreement!
    Then why not be brave and vote for the second referendum ,why did they abstain from that option last week ( please don't say the time us not right ) it would have in effect brought down the withdrawal agreement.

  11. #436

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    I watched Newsnight on IPlayer this morning and couldn't believe what I was seeing - politicians are tying themselves up in knots to the extent that Nicky Morgan (who is at least willing to be flexible in her thinking to try and get us out of this mess) is going to be voting for a no deal Brexit today - given her stance during and since the Referendum, that just seems absurd to me.

    Ever since yesterday's vote I've seen and heard no end of politicians saying they can fully understand the public's frustration with Parliament and that people need to get together now to thrash out a solution, but, almost always, the conversation ends with the speaker making it clear that others need to come around to his/her way of thinking - they just don't get it.
    But who does get it? Theoretically, soft Brexit is not what the electorate voted for. There was no fine-tuning regarding the question posed regarding referendum vote: Remain being one option and leaving the EU the other option. It is so ironic that the compromise that may be reached was not voted for by anyone (not that I think that the electorate have been the wisest judges regarding the matter, as you know from my previous posts).

  12. #437

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Taunton Blue Genie View Post
    But who does get it? Theoretically, soft Brexit is not what the electorate voted for. There was no fine-tuning regarding the question posed regarding referendum vote: Remain being one option and leaving the EU the other option. It is so ironic that the compromise that may be reached was not voted for by anyone (not that I think that the electorate have been the wisest judges regarding the matter, as you know from my previous posts).
    The point I was trying to make was that, even after nearly three years of deadlock, we're still hearing too much of it's got to be my Brexit!

    For me, there were two main things to come out the 2016 Referendum. The first being that on one particular day more of those who could be bothered to vote wanted us to Leave the EU than stay in it. The second was that more than 16.1 million people all voted for the same single thing - i.e. the status quo where things "Remain" as they were. People go on about the 17.4 million leavers, but any analysis of that figure will show a multitude of reasons as to why so many people wanted to leave and so you would probably get thousands of different answers if you asked each Leave voter to set out why they voted the way they did - when you go beyond the figures revealed in the vote, Remain would be the largest single answer in any detailed analysis of precisely what motivated people on that day.

    I say one particular day, because my perception was that the issue which resounded most with Leave voters was immigration - maybe I 'm wrong there, but there can be no doubt that it was something that was debated at length in the time leading up to vote.

    Nowadays, it barely gets a mention, yet this

    https://fullfact.org/immigration/eu-migration-and-uk/

    suggests that any fall in immigration to the UK from the EU since the 2016 vote has been offset or even surpassed by an increase in non EU immigration - this suggests that people feel less strongly about immigration now than they did back on that given day in 2016.

    All of this shows how hard it is to come up with any sort of precise definition as to what Brexit meant and still means to your average person. By it's nature, Brexit has to mean an awful lot of different things to the UK population, so it must follow that any solution to the issue which, broadly, is to the satisfaction of a majority has to be a compromise. That's what I meant by "they just don't get it" - people with too many personal agendas are having too big a say as to where the country should go from here.

  13. #438

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    The point I was trying to make was that, even after nearly three years of deadlock, we're still hearing too much of it's got to be my Brexit!

    For me, there were two main things to come out the 2016 Referendum. The first being that on one particular day more of those who could be bothered to vote wanted us to Leave the EU than stay in it. The second was that more than 16.1 million people all voted for the same single thing - i.e. the status quo where things "Remain" as they were. People go on about the 17.4 million leavers, but any analysis of that figure will show a multitude of reasons as to why so many people wanted to leave and so you would probably get thousands of different answers if you asked each Leave voter to set out why they voted the way they did - when you go beyond the figures revealed in the vote, Remain would be the largest single answer in any detailed analysis of precisely what motivated people on that day.

    I say one particular day, because my perception was that the issue which resounded most with Leave voters was immigration - maybe I 'm wrong there, but there can be no doubt that it was something that was debated at length in the time leading up to vote.

    Nowadays, it barely gets a mention, yet this

    https://fullfact.org/immigration/eu-migration-and-uk/

    suggests that any fall in immigration to the UK from the EU since the 2016 vote has been offset or even surpassed by an increase in non EU immigration - this suggests that people feel less strongly about immigration now than they did back on that given day in 2016.

    All of this shows how hard it is to come up with any sort of precise definition as to what Brexit meant and still means to your average person. By it's nature, Brexit has to mean an awful lot of different things to the UK population, so it must follow that any solution to the issue which, broadly, is to the satisfaction of a majority has to be a compromise. That's what I meant by "they just don't get it" - people with too many personal agendas are having too big a say as to where the country should go from here.
    Hi, Bob. I wasn't arguing with you, old fruit. The whole thing is a huge stramash, as the Scots say. There are a number of politicians playing their own games but those who aren't have been put in a difficult situation themselves. And they daren't say that the electorate were not qualified to vote on the matter due to the level of ignorance regarding the matter.

  14. #439

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Taunton Blue Genie View Post
    Hi, Bob. I wasn't arguing with you, old fruit. The whole thing is a huge stramash, as the Scots say. There are a number of politicians playing their own games but those who aren't have been put in a difficult situation themselves. And they daren't say that the electorate were not qualified to vote on the matter due to the level of ignorance regarding the matter.
    Cocked up the last sentence but I blame my phone 😊

  15. #440

    Re: Brexit thread

    Speaker John Bercow is saying that Theresa May cannot come back with a third attempt to get her deal through Parliament unless it is significantly different from the one voted on last week.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47614074

  16. #441

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    Speaker John Bercow is saying that Theresa May cannot come back with a third attempt to get her deal through Parliament unless it is significantly different from the one voted on last week.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47614074
    Quite right too! Does she think everybody is stupid? She must be the worst PM in living memory. At least Thatcher had some principles, even if they were mostly bad ones.

  17. #442

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    Quite right too! Does she think everybody is stupid? She must be the worst PM in living memory. At least Thatcher had some principles, even if they were mostly bad ones.
    I still say Cameron (just) for his utter cowardice.

  18. #443

    Re: Brexit thread

    The Leave Means Leave march (which apparently cost people £50 each to sign up to) is looking pretty pathetic. Numbers not even in three figures, Farage has no intention of joining them other than for brief photo ops, barely a person under 50 which doesn't suggest that the people who will live with brexit are that motivated to "save" it. It just looks like a miserable time.

    How many turned up to the People's Vote march again? I can't remember. Was it less or more than this?

  19. #444

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by lardy View Post
    The Leave Means Leave march (which apparently cost people £50 each to sign up to) is looking pretty pathetic. Numbers not even in three figures, Farage has no intention of joining them other than for brief photo ops, barely a person under 50 which doesn't suggest that the people who will live with brexit are that motivated to "save" it. It just looks like a miserable time.

    How many turned up to the People's Vote march again? I can't remember. Was it less or more than this?

  20. #445

    Re: Brexit thread

    Short extension to Brexit "possible" if MPs approve UK PM Theresa May's deal next week - EU's Donald Tusk says

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47636011


  21. #446

    Re: Brexit thread




    Dear Donald

    The UK Government's policy remains to leave the European Union in an orderly manner on the basis of the Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration agreed in November, complemented by the Joint Instrument and supplement to the Political Declaration President Juncker and I agreed on 11 March.

    You will be aware that before the House of Commons rejected the deal for a second time on 12 March, I warned in a speech in Grimsby that the consequences of failing to endorse the deal were unpredictable and potentially deeply unpalatable. The House of Commons did not vote in favour of the deal. The following day it voted against leaving the EU without a negotiated deal. The day after that it supported a Government motion that proposed a short extension to the Article 50 period if the House supported a meaningful vote before this week's European Council. The motion also made clear that if this had not happened, a longer extension would oblige the UK to call elections to the European Parliament. I do not believe that it would be in either of our interests for the UK to hold European Parliament elections.

    I had intended to bring the vote back to the House of Commons this week. The Speaker of the House of Commons said on Monday that in order for a further meaningful vote to be brought back to the House of Commons, the agreement would have to be "fundamentally different-not different in terms of wording, but different in terms of substance". Some Members of Parliament have interpreted that this means a further change to the deal. This position has made it impossible in practice to call a further vote in advance of the European Council. However, it remains my intention to bring the deal back to the House.

    In advance of that vote, I would be grateful if the European Council could therefore approve the supplementary documents that President Juncker and I agreed in Strasbourg, putting the Government in a position to bring these agreements to the House and confirming the changes to the Government's proposition to Parliament. I also intend to bring forward further domestic proposals that confirm my previous commitments to protect our internal market, given the concerns expressed about the backstop. On this basis, and in the light of the outcome of the European Council, I intend to put forward a motion as soon as possible under section 13 of the Withdrawal Act 2018 and make the argument for the orderly withdrawal and strong future partnership the UK economy, its citizens' security and the continent's future, demands.

    If the motion is passed, I am confident that Parliament will proceed to ratify the deal constructively. But this will clearly not be completed before 29 March 2019. In our legal system, the Government will need to take a Bill through both Houses of Parliament to enact our commitments under the Withdrawal Agreement into domestic law. While we will consult with the Opposition in the usual way to plan the passage of the Bill as quickly and smoothly as possible, the timetable for this is inevitably uncertain at this stage. I am therefore writing to inform the European Council that the UK is seeking an extension to the Article 50 period under Article 50(3) of the Treaty on European Union, including as applied by Article 106a of the Euratom Treaty, until 30 June 2019.

    I would be grateful for the opportunity to set out this position to our colleagues on Thursday.

    Yours ever

    Theresa May

  22. #447

    Re: Brexit thread

    The break up of the Union is getting very close now.

  23. #448

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by trampie09 View Post
    The break up of the Union is getting very close now.
    I've not heard or felt any ground trembling , I hope we do break away and move closer to Cornwall, I'm guessing Scotland will float slowly towards Norway or Iceland , and dear old Ireland heads towards their real home, the East Coast of the USA.

  24. #449

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post



    Dear Donald

    The UK Government's policy remains to leave the European Union in an orderly manner on the basis of the Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration agreed in November, complemented by the Joint Instrument and supplement to the Political Declaration President Juncker and I agreed on 11 March.

    You will be aware that before the House of Commons rejected the deal for a second time on 12 March, I warned in a speech in Grimsby that the consequences of failing to endorse the deal were unpredictable and potentially deeply unpalatable. The House of Commons did not vote in favour of the deal. The following day it voted against leaving the EU without a negotiated deal. The day after that it supported a Government motion that proposed a short extension to the Article 50 period if the House supported a meaningful vote before this week's European Council. The motion also made clear that if this had not happened, a longer extension would oblige the UK to call elections to the European Parliament. I do not believe that it would be in either of our interests for the UK to hold European Parliament elections.

    I had intended to bring the vote back to the House of Commons this week. The Speaker of the House of Commons said on Monday that in order for a further meaningful vote to be brought back to the House of Commons, the agreement would have to be "fundamentally different-not different in terms of wording, but different in terms of substance". Some Members of Parliament have interpreted that this means a further change to the deal. This position has made it impossible in practice to call a further vote in advance of the European Council. However, it remains my intention to bring the deal back to the House.

    In advance of that vote, I would be grateful if the European Council could therefore approve the supplementary documents that President Juncker and I agreed in Strasbourg, putting the Government in a position to bring these agreements to the House and confirming the changes to the Government's proposition to Parliament. I also intend to bring forward further domestic proposals that confirm my previous commitments to protect our internal market, given the concerns expressed about the backstop. On this basis, and in the light of the outcome of the European Council, I intend to put forward a motion as soon as possible under section 13 of the Withdrawal Act 2018 and make the argument for the orderly withdrawal and strong future partnership the UK economy, its citizens' security and the continent's future, demands.

    If the motion is passed, I am confident that Parliament will proceed to ratify the deal constructively. But this will clearly not be completed before 29 March 2019. In our legal system, the Government will need to take a Bill through both Houses of Parliament to enact our commitments under the Withdrawal Agreement into domestic law. While we will consult with the Opposition in the usual way to plan the passage of the Bill as quickly and smoothly as possible, the timetable for this is inevitably uncertain at this stage. I am therefore writing to inform the European Council that the UK is seeking an extension to the Article 50 period under Article 50(3) of the Treaty on European Union, including as applied by Article 106a of the Euratom Treaty, until 30 June 2019.

    I would be grateful for the opportunity to set out this position to our colleagues on Thursday.

    Yours ever

    Theresa May
    She the only person I know who is playing chess against 3 sides.

  25. #450

    Re: Brexit thread

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    She the only person I know who is playing chess against 3 sides.
    Can anyone tell if she is winning?

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