Assuming that our points total of 14 from 16 games is replicated for rest of season then 33 points is possible.

38/16 x 14 = 33.25

Swansea & Stoke went down with 33 points last May, Southampton stayed up with 36.

Using the same raw statistical analysis the teams currently below us will stay below us.

Last season after match day 16:

Manchester City: 46
Manchester United: 35
Chelsea: 32
Liverpool: 30
Arsenal: 29
Tottenham Hotspur: 28
Burnley: 28
Leicester City: 23
Watford: 22
Everton: 19
Southampton: 18
Huddersfield Town: 18
Brighton & Hove Albion: 17
Bournemouth: 16
Stoke City: 16
Newcastle United: 15
West Bromwich Albion: 13
West Ham United: 13
Swansea City: 12
Crystal Palace: 11