A look at our chances of making the playoffs

[Eric the Half a Bee]

It's always interesting to read this in retrospect!

One thing I notice, flicking through league tables in this division after 39 games is that 60 points is quite low at this point in the season. It's even more unusual to have a side in 6th on 60 points with a 3 point gap to 7th!

Looking back on my post, I worried about us avoiding defeat to Brentford, Leeds and Preston. 7 points seems to be a reasonable tally from those 3 games, I guess! On paper, our most difficult remaining games are Bristol City and Fulham away, and both have come back after the restart playing quite poorly.

I'm thinking 72 points will be enough for a playoff spot. 4 wins will surely be enough, barring a phenomenal run from a team below us.

[Harry Paget Flashman]

It's always interesting to read this in retrospect!

One thing I notice, flicking through league tables in this division after 39 games is that 60 points is quite low at this point in the season. It's even more unusual to have a side in 6th on 60 points with a 3 point gap to 7th!

Looking back on my post, I worried about us avoiding defeat to Brentford, Leeds and Preston. 7 points seems to be a reasonable tally from those 3 games, I guess! On paper, our most difficult remaining games are Bristol City and Fulham away, and both have come back after the restart playing quite poorly.

I'm thinking 72 points will be enough for a playoff spot. 4 wins will surely be enough, barring a phenomenal run from a team below us.

You have 75 points as the average for the team finishing in 6th.

What is the average for the team finishing in 7th?

[Eric the Half a Bee]

You have 75 points as the average for the team finishing in 6th.

What is the average for the team finishing in 7th?

No idea. Not 75 points. At a guess I'd say 2-3 points lower. Sometimes 6th and 7th are very close. Sometimes they're not at all.

[Harry Paget Flashman]

No idea. Not 75 points. At a guess I'd say 2-3 points lower. Sometimes 6th and 7th are very close. Sometimes they're not at all.

Just checked and it's 72.

Hopefully 73 points will be enough for us this year.

[Eric the Half a Bee]

Just checked and it's 72.

Hopefully 73 points will be enough for us this year.

It won't be 72 this year as the points tally around 6th etc is unusually low. We might even see the side finishing 7th not reach 70 points.

[IanD]

Average 2 points per match and we should make the play offs. The difference this year is that the form book has been reset after the break. We have the advantage of players coming back from injury and the use of 5 subs, a strategy well worked in the last two matches. The team seem more relaxed and focussed. We are certainly on track, at the moment, to better the 10th to 15th I was predicting at the start of the season. 70 to 74 points is doable and might just squeeze us into 6th place.

[Pedro de la Rosa]

Average 2 points per match and we should make the play offs. The difference this year is that the form book has been reset after the break. We have the advantage of players coming back from injury and the use of 5 subs, a strategy well worked in the last two matches. The team seem more relaxed and focussed. We are certainly on track, at the moment, to better the 10th to 15th I was predicting at the start of the season. 70 to 74 points is doable and might just squeeze us into 6th place.

Derby and Preston now need to win 5 of their last 7 to get 72 points. 72 points is going to be enough easily.