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Thread: Coronavirus update - NO MORE RESTRICTIONS

  1. #1576

    Re: Coronavirus update

    What’s all the fuss about eh? It will be gone soon anyway......

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...ims-professor/

  2. #1577

    Re: Coronavirus update

    The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation.

    https://thehill.com/opinion/healthca...otal-isolation

  3. #1578

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Toby Helm is the Observer's Political Editor:

    Downing Street trying to get us to say trust in government not declining and to rewrite this story with new headline. Request refused. We are not edited by Downing Street.

    I am told Downing Street also barred Sunday Times from asking questions at its briefing because they dared to criticise govt's response to Coronavirus. Surely not so in an advanced democracy.

    I am also told that if any other newspaper helped the Sunday Times they would be barred from asking questions at the briefing too. Surely none of this can be true.
    Of course we should be asking who has told them this, but don't forget that "The Fidesz government has been accused of "silencing media" and controlling all major media outlets in Hungary, thus creating an echo chamber that has excluded alternative political voices."

  4. #1579

    Re: Coronavirus update

    The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent,

    In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent
    This jumps out at me from that article. That’s terrifying still isn’t it?

    You wouldn’t do anything else that gave you a 1 in 10,000 chance of death.

    All this while social distancing is going on too.

    Then this:


    The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent
    So if we let the whole country get it and the hospitals could cope we’d end up, on best estimate, with 65,000 dead. And that rate is based on social distancing too.


    Then this bit

    In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 10 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that. For people under 18 years old, the rate of death is zero per 100,000.
    Why not give the rate for 45-75? Is it because it wouldn’t fit the its not that bad narrative?

    It would have been better to have had a better response earlier but since we can surely 2 or 3 months pain to get this under control is better than letting a lot of people die?

  5. #1580

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    What did Sadiq do?
    Join the Labour party.

  6. #1581

    Re: Coronavirus update

    The New York Times puts the death rate for flu at typically around 0.1% in the U.S.

  7. #1582

    Re: Coronavirus update

    An article I read yesterday on the Observer website talked about concerns in the scientific community that the new cases per day figure is stubbornly refusing to drop by the expected amounts as the "levelling off" period enters another week. The Government's scientists, reasonably, make the point that the increase in number of tests per day of around 50 to 70 per cent seen in the last week to ten days has to mean that the daily number of new cases would rise, the fact that these figures have tended to remain at the levels of a fortnight ago is, effectively, proof that the number of new cases per day is declining.

    However, isn't that defence really just an admission of the inadequacies of the earlier approach? Much fuss was made of the 20,000 deaths figure being passed on Saturday, but, again, that figure is recognised as being a false one now because it is for hospital deaths only - the real truth is that the 20,000 figure had been reached days earlier. About three weeks ago, a projection showing as many as 66,000 deaths in the UK (more than three times as many as any other European country). Due to them constantly over estimating the daily death figure by hundreds, that 66,000 has been revised downwards now to 32,000 which would still make us the worst affected European country, but I'd say now that the very slight possibility exists for the first time that their figure may be an under estimate now - even if we only use the hospital deaths figure, more than a thousand people have been dying every two days for a few weeks now and, with any downturn in new cases only tending to be reflected in the deaths figures about a fortnight later, that trend could go on for a while yet.

  8. #1583

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    The New York Times puts the death rate for flu at typically around 0.1% in the U.S.
    Anyone else notice how people who describe themselves as "free thinkers" always say the same things?

  9. #1584

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    Join the Labour party.
    One of many flaws.

    I'd have thought given the increasing number of idiots gathering there Thursday evenings, closing the bridge then would prevent social distancing being flouted.

    Then again, Khan was the guy who felt it appropriate to cut the number of tube carriages meaning even though less people were on the trains, social distancing was ****ed as people jammed in...

  10. #1585

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    The New York Times puts the death rate for flu at typically around 0.1% in the U.S.
    Maybe go and read page 1 again about why the direct death rate isn’t the biggest issue.

    Then consider that a 0.1% death rate during a lockdown maybe isn’t very good.

  11. #1586

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation.

    https://thehill.com/opinion/healthca...otal-isolation
    This is not a new take. How do you cocoon the elderly/at risk? We haven't even managed to keep care homes safe. Until you can square that circle we are where we are.

  12. #1587

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by tell it like it is View Post
    One of many flaws.

    I'd have thought given the increasing number of idiots gathering there Thursday evenings, closing the bridge then would prevent social distancing being flouted.

    Then again, Khan was the guy who felt it appropriate to cut the number of tube carriages meaning even though less people were on the trains, social distancing was ****ed as people jammed in...
    This is an extra special reach that deserves recognition. You need to try and take politics less personally and not get emotionally drawn in.

  13. #1588

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Closing Westminster bridge

  14. #1589

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by tell it like it is View Post
    One of many flaws.

    I'd have thought given the increasing number of idiots gathering there Thursday evenings, closing the bridge then would prevent social distancing being flouted.

    Then again, Khan was the guy who felt it appropriate to cut the number of tube carriages meaning even though less people were on the trains, social distancing was ****ed as people jammed in...
    Perhaps Khan was encouraging 'Herd Immunity' without actually stating it?

    It was all the rage back in late March.

  15. #1590

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    This is not a new take. How do you cocoon the elderly/at risk? We haven't even managed to keep care homes safe. Until you can square that circle we are where we are.
    If the global economy crashes people will die in the hundreds of millions. Until you can square that circle we are heading towards an unprecedented catastrophe of epic proportions.

  16. #1591

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    This is not a new take. How do you cocoon the elderly/at risk? We haven't even managed to keep care homes safe. Until you can square that circle we are where we are.
    It is a new take because it is based on factual data. Everything preceding it was conjecture at best.

  17. #1592

    Re: Coronavirus update

    The factual data during the lockdown is still really bad though. The economy would have been best protected if something was done earlier, so now we have 2 or 3 months of this to stop loads of people dying and hope that the governments manage the economy as best they can by allowing relaxing of the restrictions when possible.

    The arguments haven't changed. There have been 20,000 deaths in a month despite the lockdown, that would have been worse without it.

  18. #1593

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Can’t believe this thread has been going since the 10th of March and no one has thought of the economy until now!

  19. #1594

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    No longer required because it was extremely ill though out and badly managed.
    And not because they now have enough ventilators?

  20. #1595

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    If the global economy crashes people will die in the hundreds of millions. Until you can square that circle we are heading towards an unprecedented catastrophe of epic proportions.
    You really have no clue do you. You advocate for something and then when someone presses you for detail you turn into a manchild.

  21. #1596

    Re: Coronavirus update

    100s of millions?

  22. #1597

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    It is a new take because it is based on factual data. Everything preceding it was conjecture at best.
    Factual data as opposed to 'unfactual' data?

    You have posted links to academic papers on covid over the last few months, are you saying they were conjecture?

  23. #1598

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by Wales-Bales View Post
    If the global economy crashes people will die in the hundreds of millions. Until you can square that circle we are heading towards an unprecedented catastrophe of epic proportions.
    Do you think you will be one of them to die ?

  24. #1599

    Re: Coronavirus update

    Mark Drakeford says there has been an "overwhelming response" from Welsh companies offering to make personal protective equipment (PPE).

    "We have had almost 1,000 enquiries and offers to date, half of these have been about PPE or medtech," the first minister said.

    "We can’t simply rely on supplies from overseas – we have to have a homegrown supply of essential equipment.

    "As part of our ongoing efforts to build up local businesses to make more of the everyday goods we use in Wales, we’ll be looking at how we can make more of the PPE we need closer to home".

    "For the first time, we are self-sufficient in scrubs in Wales – we’re making 5,000 a week, bringing back overseas jobs and anchoring them in our Welsh economy."

    "We have been very fortunate that we’ve had enough PPE in Wales but two items – masks and fluid-resistant gowns – are under the most pressure."
    Bit of Welsh news.

  25. #1600
    Banned
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    Re: Coronavirus update

    Quote Originally Posted by surge View Post
    Bit of Welsh news.
    Pity he can't sort out testing which is a shambles.

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