Originally Posted by
Keyser Soze
I find it odd that landlords are shocked.
I sold my two buy to let houses around 8 months before CoVid lockdown. Clearly I did not see CoVid coming but I took the view that the property would be a target for the green-eyed, chords-wearing, sandwich-box carrying pen-pushers at HMRC.
The first signal was Osborne’s tapering relief of mortgage interest relief. The second was the “discussion” (yeah sure, just a discussion!) of Section 21 evictions. With government debt escalating, increasing negative bleating from Tenant Associations and sweaty politicians whinging about landlords, I took the view that both Labour and Tory governments were looking to rinse landlords of their wealth, via both capital, wealth and income taxes. I smelt the wind and it was an unattractive aroma.
Since then, as predicted, the noise has only increased. The Welsh government issued their “landlord licence”, taxes on second home came in, and tenant rights have increased whilst landlords Section 21 rights were effectively removed. Only the fool waits for the train crash to arrive. When there is a clear motivation to tax more (government debt), and a a coupleof instances of political agreement on both sides on policy, they are rarely the last policy implementation and it keeps going. HMRC are like a drunk’s bladder - once the seal has gone and resistance broken, it turns to a flood. History shows it. My political antenna proved correct, and the call to exit the market was a great one. With post-tax net profits of £870,000 on two initial buy to let investments of £250k I don’t mind admitting I feel a little smug. (Applause) Thank you.
I just have my own residential house now as a property. Just the one. One cannot be too greedy all the time! I was four years too early getting out of the buy to let market, but with such handsome returns I did at least dodge the removal of 100% mortgage interest tapering relief, idiotic restrictions on Section 21, barbaric increasing rights of tenants and what will no doubt be further capital gains tax, wealth tax or whatever pet wheeze Starmer’s cabal will introduce. When there are people like Ed Miliband and Diane Abbot amongst the plebs, one cannot establish confidence that they will be more thoughtful than the current nincompoops in blue. I calculate that the total IQ of the house of parliament would probably not exceed 4,800. Possibly the Old Etonians, Old Harrovians and old Westminsterians would raise the average somewhat, despite their lack of clear, practical common sense.
But what to do? My combined ISAs, SIPP and trading portfolios now hold a shy nudge over half a million and I need to find a home for this extra £870k to continue the capital gains and tax free incomes. First world problems, but important. I moved out of the markets and into cash about a year ago due to anticipated political stability, anticipation of interest rate rises, and a recession, based on my economic indicators. I was a tad early on selling my shares but the call there also looks correct am eyeing up shares that have been hard hit, to pick up some meat off the carcass there. I think interest rates may go to 5.5-6% so more pain to come I’m afraid in residential and commercial real estate, cyclical share markets, bonds, credit markets, private equity and venture capital. As any shrewd investor knows, these are alll interest sensitive markets that move inverse with interest rates. I shall keep my hands clean then until the rinsing and neck-wringing is done in these asset markets. As Nathan Rothchild said: “Buy when there is blood on the streets”. The the returns should be colossal looking forward.
I am sitting very pretty just shy of 50 but there will be another time or another country for buy to let, and I suspect not my last ride. If and when prices fall hard, I think investing in tax-free REITS in commercial property will be a good initial move. Yields should be good and tax free capital gains to play for, away from HMRC’s roving eyes. Once the tax collection base falls and the government’s policy proves to be a failure (which it will), and they return to their senses on buy to let, I shall revisit heavily and buy bigger. Perhaps my final hurrah in that asset class. Until then, I shall be trading the markets in legal tax free vehicles to fund my retirement abroad. Happy days.
“Investors of the world unite! You have nothing to lose but your capital gains.” I think Marx said that. Maybe Groucho Marx. Good man. He realised that one must take care of one’s own affairs with a discerning hard nose - as others are always looking for a free ride.