Reply With QuoteDon't bookies lengthen odds to encourage people to take a punt on them because few are tempted at the shorter odds offered, or is that too simplistic a view?Originally Posted by The Lone Gunman
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Yes, I’ve noticed they’ve been moving up on the bookies’ lists. But I’m surprised City have actually moved down after the Ramsey signing in particular (the price was 66/1 this time last week).
Don't bookies lengthen odds to encourage people to take a punt on them because few are tempted at the shorter odds offered, or is that too simplistic a view?
That happens when they’re trying to balance the books, particularly when events are close to happening (horse races, etc) or when other horses, teams, etc, have been heavily backed, but it’s not really the way it would work in a market like this at this early stage.
Generally, the firms’ odds compilers simply take a view when pricing up pre-season markets like this.
Surely our odds depend on what other clubs are doing. If we signed 2 English International players and other teams didnt - then our odds would shorten.
If other teams all signed 4 English internationals - then our odds would drift a bit.
My point being - no matter what we do - if it's deemed other clubs have signed better players - we'll go down the pecking order.
Are bookies that tuned in to championship clubs activity ? - or are they just messing with the odds in order to get money in to offset bets ?
At this early stage, I'm sure the Manager has a lot to do with it, they are not sure about Bulut in a new League.
So it's as simple as - new manager not managed in the championship therefor will lengthen the odds - nothing more than that.
I wonder if we had Warnock in charge and signed the same players - what would the odds be ?
Probably not much different he's past it now, he's a short-term save a team from relegation type Manager now.
I didn't say it was the only factor.
Warnock would never have signed Ramsey, too much jam.
What are they now?
I'd have thought we'd caught some attention from the bookies especially as we can sign players in January?
With Skybet 20/1 for promotion. 150/1 to win it.
On promotion only 5 teams below us in the betting 1 of which is the Jacks.
8/1 for relegation.
3/1 Swansea
Rotherham 2/5 favs for relegation. Up next what could possibly go wrong.🤣🤣
Still 20/1 for promotion, ranked 18th. But some of the odds at the top of the list have shortened significantly while some of those at the bottom have lengthened dramatically.
City are now 8/1 for relegation.
The bookies are rarely wrong, but 20/1 sounds reasonable odds, we've played a lot of the top teams away already, but early days and I shouldn't get carried away, things can change quickly.
True remember QPR!
The odds to win the title are now 150/1 from 50/1 when the book opened, but that will be the market settling down properly with some genuine evidence to go on in terms of results and the transfer window being closed.
Leicester should be able to maintain a high point-per-game ratio with a stronger squad and money to buy what's needed in January, they look like this year's Burnley.
Leicester were 4/1 favourites when the market opened. That looks a big price now. They are currently 11/8.
Are there odds on City making the playoff, and/or getting promoted as runners-up or play off winners?
Promotion comes down to squad strength in depth, we look a lot stronger outside the first eleven than we have for many years, who knows but where we are now, it looks like there is a chance of hitting the top six, I don't gamble normally but I might stick the price of one pint on in the hope of getting twenty!
13/2 to finish in the top six, 20/1 for promotion.
Yes reaching playoffs might be a better option.
A pint (fiver) on each
Our price for promotion before the season started was 20/1, and as already stated it’s that price now.
The odds increased after the first few games and have now shortened again after our good run but the odds also reflect how strong teams like Leicester and Ipswich look which obviously affect our chance of getting one of the three promotion spots.
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