Sky Prediction Of General Election

[Dave Blue]

Labour short of majority by 30 seats

Electoral Calculus site ? .......Labour majority of at least 150 seats

Mmmmm

Locals don’t mean much, turnout is too low to forecast a GE.

[pipster]

Locals don’t mean much, turnout is too low to forecast a GE.

spot on, there was a debate on radio4 where the 'pollsters' all said pretty much the same thing. Locals turnout too low to predict, people vote for different reasons, and that you really need to look at the differential ie if Party A have not increased their previous vote but Party B have decreased their vote - it just means the other hasnt turned up - which is different when it comes to a GE.

If Starma gets in - it'll be like going back to the 1970's - for all the wrong reasons. Good for me though - as that usually means stupid public sector projects - massively inflated rates, project over runs etc