Originally Posted by
surge
My understanding is the leave campaign, should they succeed, won't want to start negotiation immediately. When negotiation starts it can last up to two years and may last longer.
It's unlikely that this uncertainty will do anything positive for the economy; the leave campaign rightfully point out that we won't be like Canada (or any other existing model) but are unable to say where they may compromise in negotiation; there is little guarantee that the EU backing of Welsh projects will continue in the same vein (the coalition spent on areas where they could gain or lose votes prior to the last election but Tories are still consistently second or third best here); the opening up of democracy that this could have lead to won't happen - where was Boris, Farage and Gove when we could have changed the way we voted? Have they criticised cutting short money? Did they speak out against dead-cat policy? The only way the UK is the strongest in teh world is our levels of soft-power but leaving such a recognised group may weaken us in that department.
It's not a a referendum we needed at this time (what we needed was some serious debate and focus on the underlying frustration) as we haven't really tried to reform the EU and thus leaving would see us depart from the party before trying to engage.
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