+ Visit Cardiff FC for Latest News, Transfer Gossip, Fixtures and Match Results |
23 points from 10 games. At 2.3 points per game we will end up on 105/106 points after 46 games.
OK, its unlikely we will keep that kind of points ratio up but even if it does tail off and we drop out of the autos picture its going to have to take a dramatic drop in ratio for us to fall out of the play-offs you feel.
But we can't pass the ball !
On average last 7 years (couldnt be arsed to go back any further) 75 points will see you in the play offs. Weve already got 23 so 52 points to get in 36 games. Even if we done a Slade with 12 wins, 12 draws and 12 losses that would equate to 48 points, 71 total and you have to fancy Warnock to improve on that. His record thus far suggest he will smash that.
Based on the last 10 seasons (averages/bit of interpretation here)
50points see us clear of relegation
75-80 points for play offs
81-88 auto promotion second (yes there are exceptions when seasons produced teams that dominated the league)
89 + good enough for champions (Newcastle 09/10 = 102 pts, Leicester 13/14 102 pts).
So, after 10 played, well on track. Let's see where we are on Boxing Day. Bring on Derby.
No more, no less than your post added to my original post, I think we are both saying the same thing.
My point is even Russell Slade would be in a good position from here with his par for the course win 1, lose 1, draw 1, so with Warnock, who is clearly an improvement on Slade, I would now expect us to at least make the play-offs.