It feels inevitable we are going to fall short

[The Lone Gunman]

Indeed. If you'd seen Villa games you'd also have seen at times they've ridden their luck. We are far, far more solid at the back than Villa; get Terry turned to face his own goal and they are in trouble.

I've seen plenty of Villa games and plenty of City games this season. Both have ridden their luck on numerous occasions. The margins are fine, as the stats suggest.