Quote Originally Posted by StraightOuttaCanton View Post
Strikes me as a load of rubbish. Position of goalkeeper and defenders may be a variable but how does it take account of one goalkeeper being De Gea and the other being a 5ft 10 midfielder who has had to go in goal because of sendings off/injuries?

Maybe the idea is that it evens out over time but it doesn’t sound any more complicated than you can’t score if you don’t shoot
There is an element of " it evens out over time" and an excellent keeper might make a difference, but at the top level there's only a small % difference between any of the keepers or strikers.

Most models even out over about 9 games