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Top 8 (no particular order)
Forest
Preston
Fulham
Leeds
Middlesbrough
Sheff Weds
Stoke
West Brom
Middle 8 (no particular order)
Brentford
Bristol City
Swansea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Blackburn
Derby
QPR
Bottom 8 (no particular order)
Charlton
Barnsley
Birmingham
Hull
Luton
Millwall
Reading
Swansea
Wigan
This . Maybe Swap Derby/Preston.Originally Posted by WJ99mobile
I don’t see why everyone has us nailed on for a top end finish. As far as I can remember this rarely happens to relegated prem sides. History has taught me that when people start expecting success, things tend to turn out much more floppy, damp and unspectacular.
I don’t think that our squad is as shit hot as everyone thinks it is.
Using the top/middle/bottom 8 as the model, in 5 last seasons, 47% of relegated sides finish top 8, 33% middle 8 and 20% bottom 8.
Each season at least 1, normally 2 of the relegated sides finish in the top 6.
The last 2 seasons have been very rare when none of the 6 relegated sides have been promoted back to the PL.
Personally, my expectation is a minimum of a top 6 finish. We are 3rd / 4th favourites with the bookies for a good reason.
Last 10 years or so I think Burnley, Newcastle, Norwich and QPR (Hull maybe) have managed to go straight back up I think. The majority of those 30 clubs HAVEN’T managed to bounce straight back. A lot of them haven’t ever managed to go back up.
Blackpool, Wigan, Sunderland and Wolves have all gone the other way after relegation from the Prem.
I don’t think we’ll tailspin but I think there will be a lot of sides who’ll be equal to us in terms competitiveness and quality.
I think we could finish anywhere from first to mid-table. Maybe finishing around about the playoffs would be the most realistic/conservative estimate.
How does that work?
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