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But you said you have a good knowledge of the conditions and the events that have occurred and their wider implications.
You weren't there, you have no first hand knowledge and are not even working off hearsay. It appears that your assumptions are based off message board speculation.
Perhaps he thought he was too high, he had already told a friend that he had a tendency to do that.
Or maybe he wanted to to a pretty girl he'd seen in a boat?? How the feck can you state (seemingly unequivocally) that it must have been icing or what else could it have been? It could have been anything.
5,000ft is a standard VFR flight plan and it's the one that the pilot filed. If icing occurs you either have to descend into warmer air, or you can climb higher above the clouds, but you would need an instrument rating to fly IFR. The advantage of flying higher is longer gliding distances in the event of an emergency, which is good for single-engine planes.
BTW he was too high when landing.
You can read the same aviation forcast charts as the pilots do, plus there was an eyewitness account of the conditions from a pilot who flew in the area one hour prior to the disappearance. The wider implications are playing out right now, the pilots experience and his licence status, the legality of the flight, did he have Ian instrument rating, who owned the aircraft, who paid for his flight, insurance implications, etc, etc,.