Light aircraft gone down from Nantes to Cardiff near Guernsey last night?

[Welshcake.]

One of the posts on the pilots forum got me thinking. It was something along the lines of all we know is that they dropped of radar near Cacetes lighthouse. It is 80% likely that they ditched there but the other 20% is anywhere from Northern France, Cornwall, Exmore, Dartmore or the Severn estuary.

Also ditches on water have an 88% survival rate on light aircraft.

Should the new search party follow the existing flight plan just to see if they made to land and crashed somewhere remote?

[Gofer Blue]

One of the posts on the pilots forum got me thinking. It was something along the lines of all we know is that they dropped of radar near Cacetes lighthouse. It is 80% likely that they ditched there but the other 20% is anywhere from Northern France, Cornwall, Exmore, Dartmore or the Severn estuary.

Also ditches on water have an 88% survival rate on light aircraft.

Should the new search party follow the existing flight plan just to see if they made to land and crashed somewhere remote?

We are talking about the English Channel here not the Pacific Ocean! (with its multitude of small uninhabited islands). Where is there any "remote" island between the Channel Islands and the south of England?