Tom Pike from Imperial College has a figure of 5,700, which is similar to what Dr Fauci is mentioning as the difference between SARS and pandemic flu.
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https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/...ar-as-we-think
That's quite a good article, it does talk about how the virus might appear worse than it is.
The only thing it doesn't talk about it the health service becomming over whelmed which I thought was the main concern.
What is an attack rate?
https://mobile.twitter.com/mlipsitch...47447537115136
Interesting thread on this.
Boris Johnson has tested positively for it apparently.
Weird the people who were saying last week we aren't testing everyone so the death rate isn't that bad are now saying the "attack rate" isn't that bad.
Which is it.
Also Boris now has it.
Excel is being used to alleviate current pressure on other hospitals...
There's a different between short term spikes and longer term issues.
It's a need I know the 2 hopsitals near me have already too many patients and the 2 near my parents' the same
We often hear about how the asymptomatic cases hide the true death rate but there is a good case to say that the same is true in balance for unidentified deaths. Interesting article from italy reporting that phenomenon
https://www.corriere.it/politica/20_...?refresh_ce-cp
Ultimately it's the death rates of those without serious underlying conditions that will give us a truer picture, but what we don't know is how many people would die if we destroyed the global economy? I don't envy the people who are trying to predict the future, as the consequences of getting it wrong could be horriffic.
Seems unreal to be reading things like this.
Birmingham Airport could become emergency mortuary
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Birmingham Airport could be used as a temporary mortuary for up to 12,000 bodies in a worst-case coronavirus scenario after talks with several local councils.
Matt Hancock tests positive as well.
The coronavirus lockdown has led to big drops in air pollution across the country’s major cities....
Levels of toxic pollutants were likely to fall even further.... as traffic remained off the roads but prevailing westerly winds from the Atlantic returned.
The data shows drops in tiny particle pollution of a third to a half in London, Birmingham, Bristol and Cardiff, falls of about quarter in Manchester, York and Belfast, with smaller declines in Glasgow and Newcastle. For nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution, the data also shows declines of a third to a half in London, Birmingham, Bristol and Cardiff, and drops of 10-20% in the other cities.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...19-latest-news