Whatever the outcome IMO it will be contested by both sides, there will not be an inauguration in January and might take up to 6 months to settle via the Supreme Court.
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Whatever the outcome IMO it will be contested by both sides, there will not be an inauguration in January and might take up to 6 months to settle via the Supreme Court.
Why would both sides contest it? Surely one of them will have won!Quote:
Originally Posted by Heathblue
Swung back to Trump again now overnight.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...t/?cid=rrpromo
This level of analysis is actually pretty pointless even if it addictive, so I will stop looking now and make a prediction and forget about it til Tuesday night, or January 2025, whenever it is determined.
I bravely predict Trump will win by between 1 and 50 Electorial college votes. Or Harris will do the same. ☺️
I'll go a step further and say the next president will win. Of course, it all depends on whether a president or paramount leader is installed.Quote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
I'm sure the person who unpacked the Russian collusion narrative understands what i was getting at, but for clarity, R win D contest, D win R contest I think it will be very messy either way, the D run cities will have anteefa activated if Trump gets it, and the R run cities will have the pistol happy church going brigade running Amok if knee pads gets it, hopefully it will all just go tickety boo and we move on.Quote:
Originally Posted by lardy
How come you refer to Harris as kneepads and don't refer to Trump as rapist?Quote:
Originally Posted by Heathblue
The steaks couldn't be any hotter.Quote:
Originally Posted by Heathblue
Hi Del, my go to pisstake name for Trump on here has been Orange Man Bad or occasionally The Donald, Corbyn Dustbin, Johnson BOZO, and a few others, pretty inoffensive IMO and a lot less offensive than some of the names I and others get called on here occasionally, I've even been threatened with violence on here on one occasion. Hope that helps :thumbup:Quote:
Originally Posted by delmbox
Simple, he's a misogynist.Quote:
Originally Posted by delmbox
Those nicknames for Trump are very inoffensive yeah. I'd say that kneepads is a pretty grim and diminishing nickname for any woman though, let alone one who's been an Attorney General, Senator, Vice President and potentially President of the US, and I wonder if you've got daughters/granddaughters what they'd think of you referring to a woman as that, but I suspect you don't let them anywhere near seeing what you write on here.Quote:
Originally Posted by Heathblue
As an aside, sorry you got threatened with violence, anyone who does that on here is a clown
Election day!
The various final polls say..and remember that Harris can win the national popular vote and lose the Electoral College..
Trump +1
Harris +3
Harris +2
Harris +2
Trump +1
Harris +1
Dead even
Harris +4
Trump +2
Harris +1
And for each state...
Wisconsin
Trump +1
Trump +1
Pennsylvania
Trump +1
Trump +1
Harris +3
North Carolina
Trump +2
Trump +2
Nevada
Trump +3
Trump +3
Michigan
Trump +2
Trump +2
Georgia
Trump +2
Dead even
Arizona
Trump +5
Trump +5
Polls have moved in the Democrats favour yesterday, and the 538 modelling says..
Harris wins 50 times out of 100
Trump wins 49 times out of 100
Dead heat 1 time out of 100
https://abcnews.go.com/538
Aside from anything else, I have never known anything as close in my life. Admittedly most elections aren't a two-horse race but still. It is remarkable how close the polls are.
Personally I feel it won't be quite so close, but I really don't know in what direction or why I think that. I just think there is so much going on that there will be a movement in one direction. If I had to put money on it, I would put it on Harris winning. At the end of the day, people tend to vote for the status quo if it seems risky, although much less so in recent years it seems.
Thank you for all those figuresQuote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
What do they mean ?
Keep it simple ff sake
It's not exactly as this as there are some small third candidates, but essentially..
Trump +1 means he is ahead by one point (ie 50.5% to 49.5%.
Harris +4 means she is ahead by four points (ie 52% to 48%).
This is the case nationally and the same goes for the individual battle ground states, of which there are 7.
Modelling is then done where the organization "538" "run the election" through a computer programme and that makes a prediction and half of those times Harris wins and just under half of the time Trump wins.
Essentially it's tighter than Tans trousers when he used to pull them up to his belly button.
I am still dazed and confused 😕Quote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
The modelling predicted there would be a 87.4% chance of that!Quote:
Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY
Some poncey clown with a toupe on today said on BBC news channel that it was Kamalas and he had been right for last 40 yearsQuote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
Which means a trump landslide
Call in Led Zeppelin to helpQuote:
Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY
First results are in.
Dixville Notch, New Hampshire is a town of 6 people and they voted at midnight.
The result:
Harris 3
Trump 3
The result in 2020 was Biden 5, Trump 0. In 2016, Clinton 4 Trump 2.
So on this swing in Dixville Notch is replicated nationwide it will be a Trump landslide..🤪
I'm giving you a pass at the moment. Don't start acting as a Trump fan boy again.Quote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
If the Dixville Notch result were replicated, it would be a dead heat - clearly mathematics wasn't in the town planning diploma.
Going from 5-0 to 3-3 is an enormous swing AZ, which is what I mentioned.Quote:
Originally Posted by az city
I'll be kinder than you and assume it's your reading that is poor here, not your mathematics..
You could pick a fight with a paper bag..and with light hearted Dixville Notch observations, clearly.
Just admit you're wrong. 3-3 is a dead heat. Swings don't come into it.Quote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
I genuinely thought we would all witness your first sign of humility then! 🤣Quote:
Originally Posted by az city
I feel like this has all gone over your head. But to clarify, extrapolating the national result from Dixville Notch is plainly a preposterous thing to do and is clearly not serious.
And yes, I did say swing, because that's what I meant.
There, there. You're right, of course. Nurse will be along in a moment. :shrug:Quote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
I love how if you misread something, it is the fault of the person who said it and not you. Quite extraordinary.Quote:
Originally Posted by az city
I very cleary said swing. You incorrectly read it as a total result and then told me I just said the wrong thing!
This is actually quite an interesting ittle exchange!
It's fine to misread something. No one will judge you on it.
Right on!Quote:
Originally Posted by JamesWales
Not too long to wait now :popcorn:
I think it is extremely disrespectful to Kamala Harris to discuss today's ongoing election results in a Donald Trump thread!
Idiot, apparently you're thick and illiterate.Quote:
Originally Posted by az city
I hate to say it but he definitely is in this case :hehe:Quote:
Originally Posted by az city
Rogan endorses Trump and Musk also has quite a lot to say..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qZl_5xHoBw
:facepalm: :hehe:Quote:
Originally Posted by delmbox
Today could finally be the end of Trump, so thanks for all the CCMB laughs!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lw2BVI9OhC4
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wales-Bales
I doubt it will be the end of Trump, but it might be the end of the affair with Putin! :thumbup: :hehe:
Attachment 6302
I had been wondering why Arizona was turning towards the Republicans in the polls The Democrats must have had you out there door knocking for them!Quote:
Originally Posted by az city
I'm not sure what's worse; your inability to tell when a post is light hearted, your inability to read a couple of sentences together or your extraordinary poor manners!?
(This is also a light hearted post by the way)
Indeed. Absolutely bizarre series of posts!Quote:
Originally Posted by delmbox
We'll see soon enough, but I expect Harris to concede and Trump to take power in January.Quote:
Originally Posted by Heathblue
Read your timeline wrong did you?Quote:
Originally Posted by Wales-Bales
At least the war is over now in Ukraine hey? I’m sure Donald wasn’t lying
Stop fighting you two, you keep what you've got and you keep what you've got, and let that be an end to it.Quote:
Originally Posted by goats
Have we had Russian collusion yet ?
Yes. Pay attention, please!Quote:
Originally Posted by Heathblue