More fantastic news for the farmers the fisherman and the UK https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/br...eveals-1361797
:facepalm:
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More fantastic news for the farmers the fisherman and the UK https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/br...eveals-1361797
:facepalm:
The way this thread works...
People post predictions of bad news.
Others post real news that tends to show these things not coming true.
Repeat for five years.
In a bright red bus, ad infinitum. If it worked first time .........
This thread explains the difficulties businesses face from January. More Brexit madness.
https://twitter.com/daniellambert29/...346475010?s=21
Spot on .
There isn't a clear brexit picture yet due to Covid that's fairly accepted .
I don't think any success from Brexit will be welcomed by leave voters.
There's a lot of bitterness about ..
Strange debate Brexit, as it divided left and right politics, split parties , even families and friends.
Just need to move on now .
Get the foreigners out, that’s what we voted for. Whoops get the foreigners back we need them https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-59785227
Absolute farce.
I think to try and illustrate my point better about how many of you are being played by sensationalist headlines whose sole purpose is to create shares amongst fanatics and drive up advertising revenue, I shall start posting these ridiculous anti-brexit "predictions" post event, so we can more clearly see them for how ridiculous they are.
This week's nonsense. How Brexit will ruin Christmas. Actually if anything i've noticed shops fuller than usual. I've struggled to get some stuff before but not this year. Although I did make my own bread sauce to avoid brexit ruining Christmas.
Have a lovely boxing day all and if you must box remember to punch a leave voter for DESTROYING Christmas.
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeands...fect-christmas
I'll counter your irrelevant anecdote with £12 billion lost in trade in October.
https://www.itv.com/news/2021-12-10/...ade-in-october
Sky News just reporting Boxing Day footfall reduced dramatically this morning. In all fairness, Omicron struck me as the major culprit of this but who knows?
One thing that I have been ruminating about recently is that if everyone had pre knowledge of what was round the corner with Covid looming, would the majority have voted differently with Brexit? I mean, would it have crossed people's minds; do we really need to experiment during challenging circumstances?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...has-gone-badly
16% of those who voted for Brexit said they had expected it to go badly and had been proved right.
I know it will be shit.....but hey, what the hell! :facepalm:
All these sensational headlines keep on coming :xmashehe:
British cheesemaker says Brexit and subsequent trade deals have cost his firm £270,000. “biggest disaster that any government has ever negotiated in the history of trade negotiations”.
https://www.theguardian.com/business...ver-negotiated
Did anyone think that Brexit wouldn't prove difficult in the first fee years ??
Of course it will , and no body at this point in time how it will look .
The UK joined in 1973 I think ? It will take a good 5 years to say it is good or bad.
One way of testing public opinion would be for Labour to announce thier main next election platform would be re entry to Europe along with the Liberals and SNP .
Boris could be done then or would he ?
“The biggest disaster any Government has ever negotiated”.
https://www.theguardian.com/business...ver-negotiated
Apologies, just seen it was posted earlier today.
Don't worry it's only Cheeseday, perhaps he will make back his profits from diversified his marketing strategy with other countries and at home ( I note he mentions the home market as if that's not been a priority for his business until now?? .
Unique British producers can make money outside of the EU , I know of a butchers that was saved by successfully exports ( high end means) to expats in North America .
I didn't pick up on his overall turnover / profit just the loss he has recently suffered , I should imagine rely's on robust refrigerated freight routes and we know since Brexit the shut down due to Covid would have greatly effected his operational profits and will be part of his £270k loss , I don't doubt his sales would been effected because of Brexit , but in recent times we've seen some extraordinary times and business losses ??
While your at it, any advice for Kirkella owners? Perhaps you could advise them to go fish in North America.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-59748581
Energy costs will be lower after Brexit. Yet more lies. https://twitter.com/pickardje/status...599216640?s=21
The right wing tabloids are eventually realising what a shit show Brexit is. Campaigned for and supported it and now shedding crocodile tears. Hate to say we told you so!!!
Attachment 4738
https://twitter.com/emmakennedy/stat...501058049?s=21
Well well..8 carefully selected articles from a shit rag posted by an arch EUphile on twitter. How many UK daily newspapers? Maybe 10? How many articles a day collectively? Perhaps 250? That's 1,750 a week. 91,000 a year. Five years since the referendum so that's the best part of half a million articles there, you can double that with news websites.
But yeah, those 8 articles.. absolutely damning. The same definitely couldn't be done in reverse. I definitely couldn't find any articles predicting Christmas being ruined or unemployment rising or dozens of other things that proved to be wrong. Definitely not.
Mate, posts like that are like someone picking 4 random Cardiff City WalesOnline stories from the last five years and then saying "lOL CaRdIfF CItY r ShiT n sO r WaLes OnLine".
To counter stuff like that IS to provide balance. If someone present a wholly white argument, providing balance is to present a grey or black one.
Better still is if some of these initial posts could be balanced or try and tell the truth in the first place.
I was taking the piss as all you ever do is take a negative story about Brexit or the Tories and try to paint it in a more positive light when 9 times out of 10 you're just making yourself look like a mindless follower.
Your balance to this story wasn't to provide positives about Brexit but to show how it's only a few negatives being listed.
That's not balance. That's diversion.
Brexit, making life easy for so many businesses https://twitter.com/joe_mayes/status...496919556?s=21 :hehe:
You have a strange way of looking at things, have those articles been proved to be right currently? Drawing attention to things where “the other side” have seemed to be shown to be wrong is standard fare on both sides of the political divide - those in power in a democracy tend to be judged more by what they get wrong than what they get right.
No, they haven't been proved right, and that's my point.
Firstly, they are from the Express which is the most bombastic paper there is. I criticise the guardian mainly because people treat it with more reverence than it deserves. I criticise the Express because it genuinely is full of shite, or at least it's headlines are.
Secondly, there is not a direct correlation between the stories being compared aside from the mobile charging reference. the idea that farming will collapse and one farmer suggesting some farmers will go out of business are not contradictions. Farms have always gone out of business.
Thirdly, there isn't a farming DISASTER and British fishing hasn't COLLAPSED and there's no evidence that food bills have SOARED due to Brexit.
Fourthly, this kind of cherry-picking of articles can be applied to any argument. So many of the anti-brexit predictions have proven false, so the same headlines can be put together for that.
It's all just weird populist stuff designed for twitter that doesn't actually help move forward the understanding of issues. It's the same approach that Leave.EU did on the other side. Pointless.
Perhaps a sensible discussion?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-59886350
I think we would all probably agree that even if you didn't support leaving the EU, one benefit once it's happened is having the flexibility to make a greater array of policy decisions.
One area we seem to be diverging is in terms of farm subsidies, which previously were paid based on the size of the farm. It now seems that post-Brexit, the UK will be factoring in other environmental elements into this, which broadly speaking seems a good idea to me. I suppose one concern is that we still need farms to focus on producing food and you can envisage a situation where someone almost gets paid for doing nothing except having a lot of land and letting it go wild for environmental purposes.
Quite a change in how we manage agriculture and land potentially anyway.
Note - this refers to England only and I'm not sure if Wales intends to depart significantly
Sort of.
It is more a greater weighting towards payments for public goods rather than for being an active farmer. Under the Common Agricultural Policy there were two streams of support, one area based and the other for environmental measures. England has always tried to maximise its use of the environmental measures fund and the opportunity of transferring money from one pot to another.
You are right that the flexibility as a consequence of leaving is that the balance can be increased. The old subsidies will be tapered down and eliminated by 2024 and replaced by the new schemes if the pilots are a success. A few points to note though:
1) The latest iteration of the EU CAP is doing this anyway. Far less emphasis on common schemes and more on each member state producing its own Strategic Plan so most of what is being proposed could be achieved within the EU;
2) Under the CAP, the UK had about £3.5 billion a year for agricultural subsidies. Having left England has committed to maintain that level of annual payment for a period. At some point though this funding stream will have to compete against all the other priorities that different governments might have;
3) There is a real risk that under these proposals that tenant farmers will be the big losers. On the area based scheme the subsidies went to the "active farmer" but for environmental measures England targeted the landlords/land owners because they could have fewer bigger agreements and get economies of scale. This is likely to accelerate and tenants could lose their existing funding and be at the whim of their landlords to see a commensurate reduction in their rents to compensate on land that is less productive. The rich get richer and all that;
4) You mention diminished food security which will also be under threat from the type of trade deals we have seen negotiated post-Brexit with Australia and New Zealand and UK produce competing with that subsidised on the continent with whatever additional bureaucracy Brexit brings in exporting UK agriculture. These schemes cannot be seen in isolation, which is why bodies such as the National Farmers Union are getting increasingly angsty (I say increasingly as angsty has been their default position in my experience)!
Thats interesting, thanks for posting :thumbup:
I'm less fearful of NZ and Australia. To me, if we cannot compete with them, it suggests that whatever system we have had in place has been inefficient and needs to change. Why are they so successful? I heard they have no subsidies at all? Larger farms?
Australia is low by international standards and New Zealand is essentially subsidy free. I once attended a talk by the New Zealand Minister of Agriculture at New Zealand House in London. He spent a lot of the talk extolling the virtues of going subsidy free. Later on after he left I chatted to a couple of his aides who privately conceded they wished there were support systems available. Australia, particularly has economies of scale.
The danger is seeing farmers as an homogenous group. The problem is mainly in the livestock sector and within that sector on upland farms. Many of these farms are not farming at a profit and the subsidy is the only means of making a living. These people are a world away from the barley barons of East Anglia who can probably compete on the world stage and have the sophistication and infrastructure to adapt. Even there, I did some work with one of the major fruit and vegetable organisations in the UK. Their leader said he would be quite happy to operate without subsidies but hat he would be uncompetitive if the playing field was not levelled in the rest of Europe.
The fear about the deals to date is that they will set a precedent for deals to come. It's not so much that those agricultural sectors are so successful but that their negotiators have engineered a deal that will make them more successful in the future with little beneficial quid pro quo for the UK if you believe the UK Government's own analysis of the deals.
I guess it comes down to how much you care about the economic viability of the vulnerable sectors of UK farming in the general scheme of things.
what happens if a British fish swims outside of British waters! Does it lose it's citizenship ?
And what about all these foreign fish coming here and swimming in British waters....should they be sent home?