Live odds currently available on SkyBet have Neil Harris the 1/4 favourite
5/1 bar
I just saw Roy Keane buying a prawn sandwich in Asda’s Leckwith.... I was going to have a cheeky tenner lol 😂
Don’t think I’ll bother
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Live odds currently available on SkyBet have Neil Harris the 1/4 favourite
5/1 bar
I just saw Roy Keane buying a prawn sandwich in Asda’s Leckwith.... I was going to have a cheeky tenner lol 😂
Don’t think I’ll bother
Aren’t these markets tiny? I’d have thought that the odds reflect the betting in many respects. The bookie will want to balance the book so as people lump on Harris, so the odds have to come in. When betting on things like the league winners I imagine that there is so much wagered that the odds wouldn’t be massively swayed by big bets but on little things like this I suspect that the betting pattern has quite a big influence.
Absolutely. The odds are simply installed at the start and go up/down dependent on where people are putting their money.
If I stuck a grand on Chris Coleman watch his odds get slashed.
Harris was 2/1 on Monday so the odds suggest somebody somewhere knows he’s our next manager doesn’t it??
I remember when the rumour had shay given as so far odds on even he was convinced he was coming.
Worst market to bet on. Maybe you can give someone a go if they're outside and then cash out (if you can cash out) or lay when the odds change, but if you're having a punt at 2/1 then you're giving your money away.
Or that he’s being bet on by people seeing his short odds...making them shorterQuote:
Originally Posted by Padraig1968
Like the player transfer markets its all based on rumour in the main. You probably only need a couple of the higher profile social media accounts to get on it and the odds will shorten.Quote:
Originally Posted by lardy
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trigger
Didn't skybet get caught fiddling the market a few months ago? Can't remember what they did, but it was something about sky sports doing some false breaking news in order to get a run going on someone on skybet (which was obviously plastered all over the screens).
Something like wow he's favourite now and still 12/1 on skybet hurry hurry
Football betting takes up a lot of my time but I would never place a bet on a new manager market.
In answer to the question "Do bookies get it wrong?" it depends what is meant by wrong. It is normal to have at least three different names as odds-on favourite before the actual appointment is made. But that is hardly getting it wrong, it's making money. As others have said "new managers" are small markets normally, if a large sum is staked (or more likely attempted to be staked but a smaller sum accepted) the bookmakers will soon reduce the odds drastically or stop taking bets suspecting someone really does know something.
So far Neil Harris has been the only odds-on favourite and he may well be the new Cardiff City Manager, but if he is it will be a rare occurrence of a man leading the betting all the way. More often a name from the pack or even a name no-one has mentioned comes through to get the job. Here's hoping it's Mr Craig Bellamy.
Did you read any of the other comments in this post?Quote:
Originally Posted by Padraig1968
Seeing as it is only Skybet that are quoting it means nothing. If you was to stick more than a 100 on that the odds would be slashed. (and they'd probably limit your stakes if it won). The truest reflection is normally found on the exchanges such as betfair but there is no market there right now. Only got to look at the 16million on Harry Rednapp to go to Pompey when Warnock was the bookies favourite.
There are real questions about how sky can operate a bookies and various media outlets without a conflict of interests.Quote:
Originally Posted by ivandobsky
Talksport - also owned by news corp? Have stated numerous times that Harris is the front runner or hinted even more strongly than that
Interesting thread and interesting response. How did harris even start as the favourite? How do they decide if mark hughes or chris hughton are more likely? My guess is they havent actually got a clue?Quote:
Originally Posted by ROKERITE
They don't need to have a clue, especially with the size of the overround on these types of market. They just need to make sure the book balances which is why the odds get slashed if someone lumps a sum on one candidate. Also it's the sort of market where someone might actually know the answer so I suspect you get limited to quite small stakes too
There was a 66/1 chance for Jose to come here and 25/1 for a Malky return.
Hope this answers the original question
I tried to chuck £30 on Bellamy @ 25/1 on Coral and they limited me to £8.08, they’re guessing same as us which is why they are always ultra cautious in laying bets on these markets.
Bowyer's odds are down to 5/2, he was 6/1 this morning. Hughton has driftedfrom 6/1 to 8/1 too. Harris still 1/3 favourite.
Sounds like no one other than the 2 favourites are in the frame according to the bookies atm.
I was on Asda earlier and I bumped into William Hill.
What are the odds of that happening?
Pretty high if you were up on top of a roof.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sir Sidney Ruff-Diamond
We were one of the favourites for promotion at the start of the season, so yes, they do get things quite wrong!