Ive seen posters on here describing certain posters as lefties. Dont think they feel bullied though.
Saying that I dont look at the politics thread.
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There was recognition that Westminster needed to retain MPs because of the extra work caused by Brexit. I'd argue more numbers needed in Senedd rather than less for the same reason especially with reduction in Welsh MPs and I think Andrew RT Davies agrees considering he wants a specific post for covid response. Issue is who goes forward for selection, who gets voted in and how they behave afterwards. There are good people to vote for in Wales but ills with voting for Mark Reckless (too drunk to vote on a budget) because one is sick of the Senedd as there is issue with voting anyone just because they're Labour.
I never understand why people would want to abolish the Senedd, they are often the brexit voters who were crying at the thought of another vote 'crushing democracy'. All the votes in Wales since the late 90s have been in favour of the Senedd or for more voting powers so growing Tory preference on abolishing the Senedd is the most hypocritical opinion I've heard for a long time, how abolish get so much air time is beyond me.
I think Wales should and needs to be either have fully devolved powers or independence, I've lived in many commonwealth countries and to see their growth and opinions as independent countries has made me realise what Wales could achieve. I grew up in south Wales in the 90s and looking back I feel like it was a lot more grim of a place than it is now (up until I left in 2018), if Wales and the population wasn't such a pushover then Wales could get so much more done.
How after 500 years of being in the "greatest" union the world has seen do we have massive poverty areas and some of the poorest areas in Europe while 200 miles away is some of the richest? All while having massive deposits of slate, copper, coal and now renewable potential.
Welsh people fixate on issues and don't look at the wider picture (mainly because of a English based media) I see people suggesting to get rid of the Senedd and invest the money in NHS, schools etc. The Senedd costs 50 million, that's peanuts in the grand scheme of things and do you really think if it disappeared the Torys would then go, here's your 50 million? No chance. It would stop the legal minimum amounts of spending to be ripped up and Wales would get even less money than it has now.
We're already missing out on £5 BILLION because of HS2 being an England and Wales project, WTF, not 1 inch of it is in Wales and it's blown out 3x the initial estimate and been proven to damage the Welsh economy by hundreds of millions of pounds, but here we are with people talking of voting for the Tories! That is why in my opinion Wales has always struggled and will continue to do so, until people see the wood for the trees.
A lot of Plaid placards up in Cardiff West, I spoke to someone in the party and its over 160 there already compared to just 80 last time. A lot of polls have put Cardiff West as switching to Plaid based on uniform swing but I can't see it, but the amount of placards up suggests they may do well.
In my view, Plaid are the real threat to Labour, not the Conservatives. The places where Welsh national identity is strongest are all in the Valleys and if Plaid can tap into that then Labour are in real trouble.
What is the canvassing/placards like where everyone is? Is there more presence of alternative parties? Plaid seem to be pushing a lot harder than previously with social media, broadcasting etc and seen Adam Price has been out a fair bit but not much from Drakeford and RT?
No, Plaid Cymru AND McEvoy had the support last time. In the first two Senedd (aka Assembly) elections Plaid got 14% of the vote in Cardiff West. These elections occurred before McEvoy was deselected by Labour and before he joined Plaid Cymru.
Given the demographic changes (more Welsh-speakers in Canton now than ever before), Plaid Cymru will almost certainly get at least 15% of the vote in the constituency.
I'm not so sure on this. McEvoy helped Plaid but the assumption that everyone he helped pull to the party will switch isn't realistic.
McEvoy is also fairly unlikely to win, he has little support outside Ely, Fairwater & Caerau.
As blue sky pointed out, Plaid & McEvoy had the support, not just McEvoy. They've always had ~15% of the vote. I don't think they'll win Cardiff West but I don't think it should be written off completely. If the Labour vote is decimated in the areas McEvoy is targeting then it's very much game on
Plaid have been very active in the constituency as well, Plaid and Propel have fought the hardest campaign imo. Barely seen Labour but I've seen Plaid & McEvoy out campaigning
Not good reading even with a slight improvement for our children's education.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-50629432
I'm sure health is also an under performing area and was before Covid , which probably attributed to our ability to cope with Covid and other diseases.
McEvoy flopped spectacularly and, as I predicted, Plaid got at least 15% of the vote. Bring on the council elections! I cant wait to finish McEvoy and Propel off permanently. Labour outperformed Propel in Fairwater and Ely (according to Plaid Cymru sampling during Friday’s count) so the fat-jowled fraud will have to work very hard to keep hold of his party’s seats next year