https://www.theguardian.com/politics...rst-round-poll

Latest poll of Labour members and supporters eligible to vote '....showed Starmer receiving 53% of the vote, ahead of Rebecca Long-Bailey on 31% and Lisa Nandy on 16%' which would have him winning on the first ballot.

The poll covering the deputy leader contest had Angela Rayner 'with 47% of the vote, suggesting she would win in the second round. It showed Burgon in second place on 19%, Allin-Khan on 13%, Butler on 12% and Murray on 9%'. If correct she would win on the second ballot with 52% once Murray's votes had been redistributed.