Originally Posted by xsnaggle
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now there's a tale!!!
It’s early doors but this article suggests only 38% of reported contacts of people diagnosed with Coronavirus were reached during the first few days of the new system. With a Government target of 80% for the system to be effective.
Hopefully just early bedding-in issues if correct: https://www.newscientist.com/article...-be-effective/
Despite chasing up, I didn't even get a result of my test which was over a month ago. No doubt I figured in the statistics of tests being carried out but it seems to have got lost in the system, a less than rare occurrence, I was advised.
Will be great if you can have a test and a result within 24 hrs like be planned for end of June? Game changer?
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taking back control
It's all relative but the UK's figures are shockingly bad.
I didn’t realise they sent 15000 oldies out of hospital into care homes back in March to free up space, thus infecting so many people in care homes which is half the deaths isn’t it?
Yeah they proper ****ed the care homes with that.
I think there is an agreement in place that Care homes have to take a certain number of old people leaving hospital treatment in order to get cetain government grants or monies. The problem was that when the pandemic broke that should have been suspended but local area medical authorities continued to make them take people.
This was evinced by the owner of that Care Home in the north East where there has been a disproportionate number of inmates dying. When she was interviewed she said something like "They kept phoning and asking if we had spaces and when I said yes but we didn't want to take them because of the virus, they told me if i didn't take them they would stop my funding."
It may have been local authorities doing it but they should have been told to suspend it by Central government.
Is the R figure above 1 in parts of Wales? The latest update of the Guardian's cases per 100,000 by local area table which shows rising rates and seven Welsh areas in the top eight suggests it is.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...cases-near-you
The graph showing people in hospital with Covid-19 in Wales shows there has not been the decline that has been seen in other areas of the UK. Some of this may be down to a change in the methods of reporting. It looks, though, that there are more people in hospital with Covid-19 in Wales than there are in London. Considering density of population, plus the fact that the population of London is almost 3 times that of Wales, then easing the lockdown in some of those areas in your link is rightly being done more gradually in Wales.
If anyone is interested, this is a pretty detailed breakdown of the situation in Wales with regard to the stats by area and it's dated yesterday.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-52380643
Overall, I'd say they definitely tell the tale of an improving situation and it's good to see that the very high infection rates in this country compared to the rest of the country are not being reflected in positions right at the top of the deaths by area figures. However, the analysis strikes me as a bit vague when it comes to the concerning infection rates which has Welsh regions dominating at the top end of the cases per 100,000 figures - my guess is that, while places like RCT and Merthyr have plenty of wide open spaces, the populations tend to be very tightly packed into rows and rows of small, terraced houses making spreading the virus so much easier.
I think you’re being kind Bob.
I’ve traveled Merthyr & RCT in relation to work and for the last month been constantly surprised how little responsibility some have practiced in relation to social distancing. I visited a block of flats Monday located near a town centre where the residents had had a party. I realise my observations are anecdotal but can’t help wondering if a lack of common sense or total disregard for anything isn’t keeping our infection rates higher than other areas.
None of the persons I work with (vulnerable group) have adhered to any social distancing or lockdown restrictions.
I think I have recounted the tales of my furloughed neighbours. They are absolutely loving it - 80% wages, 2 of them have declined the offer to return to work. I am working from home, hours and wages cut 40%, and they are getting 5-10 visitors most days with no Social distancing at all.
As he said to me "It's great innit, hopefully get another three months of this". It's almost like he is incentivised to maintain the spread of the virus. I live in a street of 11 houses (2 empty) and I would say of the 9 occupied, 3 have regular visitors with no social distancing. Two of those houses have people furloughed (in other words, being paid to stay at home and stop the spread), the other house is a recently retired couple.
These are semi-detached houses in a cul-de-sac - gardens front and back. The guy who is thinking "it's great innit" - the same guy that keeps knocking my door and talking about work we could do to improve our house, refused to go to work on safety grounds. The fact is, his workplace is likely to be safer than his home. They had a bbq with friends over on Monday night - that went into the early hours of Tuesday and a couple stayed over.
So, anecdotally, I think a few people couldn't really care less - in fact it's a great summer holiday for some.
I've come across a lot more examples of people not keeping two metres away from me in the last fortnight after having no one do that for the first six to eight weeks of the lockdown, but, overall, my experience has been that people are largely keeping to it. That said, I was barely seeing anyone from late March to the beginning of May because I was just going for the one exercise period per day by walking my dog very early in the morning and so I was hardly getting much of an idea as to what was going on.
Also without trying to generalise too much, the concept of social distancing is more alien to someone in the valleys in my experience.
Lived in a leafy cardiff suburb for 15 years and can probably count on the fingers of one hand the number of times I went into a neighbours house, been living in a valleys town for a couple of years and everyone here is related to at least 2 other people on the same street, and they are all in and out of each other people's houses all of the time.
That's a fair point, I don't want to fall into stereotyping here, but, in terms of how neighbours behave towards each other, it's much like I remember it being in the 60s and 70s in Cardiff up here. That's a great thing in my view normally, but it may well be one of the factors causing a problem currently. That said, Cardiff, Swansea, Newport and the Vale of Glamorgan are four of those seven Welsh regions that occupy the top eight of the UK infections per 100,000 people ratings and, from what I know, none of them have a similar attitude to the one you describe.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/...er-coronavirus
I can see a flaw in the governments plan.
Why is there this obsession in Government, and with those it employs it seems, with things being "world class"? As Keir Starmer said in a recent PMQ, something that works would be good = we've had too many grandiose promises while the deaths mounted up to an appalling level.
That admission by the Chief Executive of Serco says so much about how ideology and dogma is dominating this Government even at a time like this - they're playing politics again.
I’ll go further and suggest it’s all smoke and mirrors in looking proactive, competent and in control. Boris was triumphant in detailing how track and trace would defeat the virus whilst throwing out the sound bite that pubs could be open. This of course was put out there the week his mate had travelled the length of England to find childcare and test his eyesight.
Who would’ve thunk our track and trace system would be implemented half arsed and not quite ready?
Good old Boris, following the science
I’ll go further and suggest it’s all smoke and mirrors in looking proactive, competent and in control. Boris was triumphant in detailing how track and trace would defeat the virus whilst throwing out the sound bite that pubs could be open. This of course was put out there the week his mate had travelled the length of England to find childcare and test his eyesight.
Who would’ve thunk our track and trace system would be implemented half arsed and not quite ready?
Good old Boris, following the science
I see there's a study today saying that seventy per cent of those testing positive (not sure if it's for England only or the UK) report no symptoms. This must mean that the percentage of the population who have had the virus has to be higher than the figure of seven per cent I hear a lot of surely?
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