What I do remember is one of the experts (perhaps Chris Whitty?) saying fairly early on that the UK will have done well if we can keep the deaths figure under 20,000......
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What I do remember is one of the experts (perhaps Chris Whitty?) saying fairly early on that the UK will have done well if we can keep the deaths figure under 20,000......
on the flip side, some professor ( a quick google says it was Professor Neil Ferguson, director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College, London ) said they expected it to be 500,000Originally Posted by The Lone Gunman
these experts opinions have varied wildly
Forecast, not expected.
They are not opinions, they are models based on data available at the time.
point still stands though
What point?
these experts opinions have varied wildly
Oh dear. Hard work sometimes, isn't it?
They are not opinions.
Yes, but that estimate was if no lockdown was enforced and no social distancing rules were applied. So a bit different. A worst-case scenario if the government did nothing and just let the virus run.
People aren’t that stupid though, although we do seem to have more here than in say Sweden, which as we all know had no lockdown but does have SD. Interesting that a Norway now think there lockdown might have been too severe and done more harm than good.
Why is that interesting?
Sweden has the highest death rate per capita at one point
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...te-per-capita/
Their society is more naturally socially distanced than ours too which is why it wasn't worse.
We don't know the whole story yet, but as i've previously said 90% of the deaths in Sweden are the over 70's
Very poor decisions have cost their lives mostly in the Stockholm region where incompetence seems to have been very high.
And as per usual the head advisor on the pandemic was seen sitting at a bar close to other people not following his own advise.
I suppose experts can't be criticised for grossly over-estimating figures, but would be opening themselves up for media mauling if they grossly under-estimated.
you are right
but even worse than that, a CCMB mauling
It's only you and Bill Oddie (Christ!) that seem to be "mauling" the "experts". The rest on this thread seem to appreciate what the figures represent.you are right
but even worse than that, a CCMB mauling
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