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View Poll Results: Who will win the US election

Voters
12. You may not vote on this poll
  • Trump Landslide

    0 0%
  • Trump narrow margin

    0 0%
  • Biden Narrow Margin

    9 75.00%
  • Biden Landslide

    3 25.00%
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Thread: US election prediction

  1. #1

    US election prediction

    Who will win the US election?

  2. #2

    Re: US election prediction

    No Kanye option?

  3. #3

    Re: US election prediction

    Didn't he withdraw?

  4. #4

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    Didn't he withdraw?
    No he managed to get on the ballot in 12 states and it was only a combination of the law, his tardiness and of course deep state that meant he did not qualify for others.


    Probably best to leave him off the poll.

  5. #5

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    Who will win the US election?
    George W. Bush and Donald Trump had something in common:
    The former garnered more than half a million votes fewer than Al Gore and the latter almost 3 million votes fewer than Hillary Clinton.

    Democracy, it ain't.

  6. #6
    International jon1959's Avatar
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    Re: US election prediction

    No score draw option?

  7. #7

    Re: US election prediction

    Nobody thinks Trump will win then?

  8. #8

    Re: US election prediction

    Compare with this earlier poll, there were a few confident then...


    https://www.ccmb.co.uk/showthread.ph...mp-predictions

  9. #9

    Re: US election prediction

    Not sure about the definition of landslide in US politics but that's my guess.

    Here are the UK General Election polling from 2019 and the actual results if anyone wants to compare with mainstream polling organisations.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...neral_election

  10. #10

    Re: US election prediction

    I see a civil war occurring

  11. #11

    Re: US election prediction

    I'd love it to be a Biden landslide, but I think the gap's going to close in the next fortnight - I almost went for a narrow Trump victort because I have this dread that he could still win, but the polls couldn't be that wrong could they?

  12. #12

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    I'd love it to be a Biden landslide, but I think the gap's going to close in the next fortnight - I almost went for a narrow Trump victort because I have this dread that he could still win, but the polls couldn't be that wrong could they?
    Ask Ed Miliband

  13. #13

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Ask Ed Miliband
    You voted yet or waiting for "guidance"?

  14. #14

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    Ask Ed Miliband
    I must have missed all of those polls putting Labour double digits ahead in the run up to the 2015 election.

  15. #15

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    I must have missed all of those polls putting Labour double digits ahead in the run up to the 2015 election.
    or even if they did get things a bit askew. Polling organisations who prosper or not on their accuracy, adjusting their methodology in the 5 years since.

  16. #16

    Re: US election prediction

    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-brief...mp-will-win-an

    Perhaps we can add Pat's vote and see how many on this Board share his prophecy if impending global doom soon after his second term has completed.

  17. #17
    International jon1959's Avatar
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    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by cyril evans awaydays View Post
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-brief...mp-will-win-an

    Perhaps we can add Pat's vote and see how many on this Board share his prophecy if impending global doom soon after his second term has completed.
    Good PR or bad PR? Third time lucky with his 'end of the world' prophesy?

    If we apply the LOM approach to balance (50% he gets it right; 50% he gets it wrong) surely we are all (probably) doomed?

  18. #18

    Re: US election prediction

    Trump's nominee is moving onto the Supreme Court and therefore Trump and hard-right America has won even if they lose.

    I wonder what Republican's actually think? In one way their party became one family who didn't believe in traditional Republican viewpoints and in another they employed a bully and a liar to stamp over traditional convention so they can challenge abortion rights etc.

  19. #19

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    I must have missed all of those polls putting Labour double digits ahead in the run up to the 2015 election.
    From Guardian:

    Labour leads Conservatives by 12 points in poll

    *This article is more than*7 years old

    Guardian/ICM poll gives Ed Miliband's party 41% of vote and David Cameron's 29% – the biggest gap in almost a decade

  20. #20
    Heisenberg
    Guest

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    From Guardian:

    Labour leads Conservatives by 12 points in poll

    *This article is more than*7 years old

    Guardian/ICM poll gives Ed Miliband's party 41% of vote and David Cameron's 29% – the biggest gap in almost a decade
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-12-point-poll

    That's from February 2013

    Do you know what "run up to the election" means? I can give you a hint... it's not 27 months beforehand.

  21. #21

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    From Guardian:

    Labour leads Conservatives by 12 points in poll

    *This article is more than*7 years old

    Guardian/ICM poll gives Ed Miliband's party 41% of vote and David Cameron's 29% – the biggest gap in almost a decade
    So its from 2013? 2 years before the election?

  22. #22

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by City123 View Post
    So its from 2013? 2 years before the election?
    He regularly lead in the polls, then he hit his stone moment , I'm sure Joe will win though

  23. #23

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by life on mars View Post
    He regularly lead in the polls, then he hit his stone moment , I'm sure Joe will win though
    In the 3 weeks in the run up to the 2015 election there was a poll spread of +6 Conservative to +3 Labour. Most polls had the Conservatives in the lead. The stone came out on 3 May, 4 days before the election.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...neral_election

    Don't let fact get in the way of an argument though!

  24. #24
    Heisenberg
    Guest

    Re: US election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by cyril evans awaydays View Post
    In the 3 weeks in the run up to the 2015 election there was a poll spread of +6 Conservative to +3 Labour. Most polls had the Conservatives in the lead. The stone came out on 3 May, 4 days before the election.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...neral_election

    Don't let fact get in the way of an argument though!
    Let's just call it as it is... LoM is thick. Not a bit thick. Thick. He's constantly wrong and when it's pointed out he either ignores it, waits for someone else to reply so he can hang onto their coat tails and agree with their post or he simply responds with something irrelevant to your post.

    I'm glad he said that he won't be "bullied off here like RB" (who wasn't bullied in the slightest... although he was an annoying c**t who was obsessed with calling everyone an anti-Semite without reason, yet had a lot of problems with black people and foreigners for some reason) as I'd miss feeling smarter than at least one person on the politics board (as Gluey has disappeared too by the looks of it).

  25. #25

    Re: US election prediction

    I think LoM has his views, I struggle with many of them because I think that they are ill thought out and led by others. I think he would be better advised to think more frequently and post less often. That said, he seems to read more than me so I struggle calling out anyone who is still being stimulated by learning and knowledge.

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