Originally Posted by
Eric the Half a Bee
That suggests we've scored 3 goals fewer at home than would have been expected but conceded 1 goal more. Away from home we've scored roughly what would have been expected and conceded 3 fewer than expected. That all suggests our home form should be better and that we've over achieved away from home.
We've scored 13 this season and conceded 12. Tally up the xG and we should have scored 15-16 and conceded 14. Seems like everything is as it should be. We're not conceding as many as can be expected, which is good, but aren't taking our chances, which is not so good.
7th in the xG goals for equals 15.4 goals over 12 games. The actual 7th top scorers have scored 13.
6th in the xG goals against equals 13.7 goals over 12 games. The actual 6th lowest conceders have let in 11.
Swansea have scored 4 fewer than expected but conceded 5 fewer.
It appears that, overall, Championship sides aren't taking the chances they should.
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