expected threat (xT)

**Rjk** · 17-02-21, 21:43

here's an article from a few years ago talking about xT, nicely illustrated by an excellent mesut ozil pass for arsenal.

https://karun.in/blog/expected-threat.html

whereas xG usually just looks at the shot at the end of the move, this tried to look at each pass or movement in the game and the effect of it.

follow up question for anyone interested enough to read it - can you guess who has the highest xT per 90 in the Cardiff squad this season.....

**xsnaggle** · 17-02-21, 22:58

Smithies?

OK I admit, I haven't read it.

**Rjk** · 18-02-21, 00:42

nice guess, expected snaggle, but no.

**Croesy Blue** · 18-02-21, 03:04

Josh Murphy?

**the other bob wilson** · 18-02-21, 08:04

Think it must be someone who would come as quite a surprise. Sean Morrison? Joe Bennett?

**surge** · 18-02-21, 08:17

Joe Ralls?

**uncle bob** · 18-02-21, 08:17

Pack

**WJ99mobile** · 18-02-21, 08:35

Has to be Tomlin

**The Bloop** · 18-02-21, 09:17

I'd guess at someone who's now elsewhere- Glatzel

**Rjk** · 18-02-21, 09:30

Originally Posted by surge

Joe Ralls?

correct - Joe Ralls, followed by Will Vaulks

**Rjk** · 18-02-21, 09:31

Originally Posted by The Bloop

I'd guess at someone who's now elsewhere- Glatzel

he's almost last, among with Moore. I guess that's due to generally being on the end of moves rather than creating them

**Rjk** · 18-02-21, 09:32

20210218_093131.jpg

**City123** · 18-02-21, 19:42

Originally Posted by Rjk

correct - Joe Ralls, followed by Will Vaulks

Would the long throws have anything to do with that?

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