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Your reading of this explains what has happened in England, I think traditional Northern and Midlands working class voters and felt Labour had become inner-city type party and moved the UKIP ,Brexit and now Tories .
This is from This Week article :( interestingly Labour are now reported as popular in high incomes as it was in low income earners )
When Boris Johnson demolished the Red Wall at last year’s election, it was clear that the usual political rules had been upended.
Six months after the Conservatives*built a big majority*from formerly safe Labour seats, a new analysis from the*Joseph Rowntree Foundation*reveals just how much has changed.
“The Conservatives are now more popular among people on low incomes than they are among people on high incomes,” says the social policy think-tank.
Meanwhile, Labour is “just as popular among the wealthy as it is among those on low incomes”, the report continues. “Both parties have inverted their traditional support base.”