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Thread: Senedd election prediction

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  1. #1

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    Agreed.
    Decent person with the wrong party. But that's what she believes in so good luck to her. I dot hope Labour takes it back though.

  2. #2

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by City123 View Post
    It would be a huge shame to lose Leanne Wood
    Seriously? Plaid need to do better, but Leanne Wood wasn't the answer.

  3. #3

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by tforturton View Post
    Seriously? Plaid need to do better, but Leanne Wood wasn't the answer.
    The answer IS probably someone at the head of the party from the Valleys who seems credible.

    As the only real left-wing alternative in Wales, Plaid have to do something to make up some ground in South East Wales.

    I think a lot of people vote Labour just because they can't stand the Tories. I voted Plaid in West Carmarthen and part of me thinks it might have been wiser to vote labour , considering the margins.

  4. #4

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by xsnaggle View Post
    with the man doubling his majority you have to admit you're clutching at straws there surge. I hope you have lots of straws in that case.
    Think you think I'm making a different point (Tories shouldn't have won) to one I was trying to make (look at our bizarre voting system and how it doesn't effectively represent people) but hey-ho.

  5. #5

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    Agreed.
    I predicted yesterday Labour would win Rhondda(bit of inside info). Hope you all lumped on it.
    Labour candidate is actually well thought of and will not disappoint.

  6. #6

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Tories take Clwyd from Labour in a very tight contest

  7. #7

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    Tories take Clwyd from Labour in a very tight contest
    That’s the only one they took in their targeted North Wales Labour seats though it seems.

  8. #8

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    That’s the only one they took in their targeted North Wales Labour seats though it seems.
    yes they would have been hoping for a lot more than this!

  9. #9

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by City123 View Post
    It would be a huge shame to lose Leanne Wood
    can she be elected on the regional list? Or was it all or nothing on the constituency poll?

  10. #10

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by cityhammer View Post
    can she be elected on the regional list? Or was it all or nothing on the constituency poll?
    Pretty sure she wasn’t on the regional list.

  11. #11

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by cityhammer View Post
    can she be elected on the regional list? Or was it all or nothing on the constituency poll?
    She's not on the list

  12. #12

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by City123 View Post
    She's not on the list
    Any reason for that? It's really disappointing news someone like her is now missing whereas we can expect some Abolish louts to get in.

  13. #13

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by surge View Post
    Any reason for that? It's really disappointing news someone like her is now missing whereas we can expect some Abolish cretins to get in.
    I don't know, its strange as well because Plaid weren't particularly confident of holding the seat going in

    All the smaller parties seem to be getting a kicking, Labour, Tories & Plaid well ahead of the rest atm. Hopefully that means the pre election Abolish hype was misplaced

  14. #14

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Lib Dems and UKIP getting a right kicking, seem to be in the hundreds in most seats

  15. #15

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by City123 View Post
    I don't know, its strange as well because Plaid weren't particularly confident of holding the seat going in

    All the smaller parties seem to be getting a kicking, Labour, Tories & Plaid well ahead of the rest atm. Hopefully that means the pre election Abolish hype was misplaced
    I agree itll be a shame if shes not in the Sennedd. Plaid dont look like they're going to gain any constituency seats so will hope of increasing their representation by gaining some regional seats from UKIP.

  16. #16

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by The Bloop View Post
    I agree itll be a shame if shes not in the Sennedd. Plaid dont look like they're going to gain any constituency seats so will hope of increasing their representation by gaining some regional seats from UKIP.
    Its a strange one though. The polls immediately before the election looked pretty bad for Plaid but they're picking up votes. Up 1,200 in West Carmarthen, up 200 Clwyd South, up 2,200 in Preseii, up 2,200 in Wrexham, up 2,000 in Montgomery, up 1,000 in Gower

    Disappointing results in Aberconwy & Caerphilly for them though

  17. #17

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by City123 View Post
    She's not on the list
    could she have been a candidate and on regional list tho? I don’t understand how this crazy system works.

  18. #18

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by cityhammer View Post
    could she have been a candidate and on regional list tho? I don’t understand how this crazy system works.
    Yes, she was a constituency candidate and on the list last time. For some reason she isn't on it this time

  19. #19

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Mark Reckless (too many drinks in the Westminster bar to vote on a budget when he was an MP) got 3.3% of the vote. I don't swear often on here but he's an absolute prick.

  20. #20

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    seems like a good night for labour

  21. #21

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by surge View Post
    Mark Reckless (too many drinks in the Westminster bar to vote on a budget when he was an MP) got 3.3% of the vote. I don't swear often on here but he's an absolute prick.
    I think I saw aswell that Neil Hamilton got less than 1000 votes. Hope that's the end of him too.

  22. #22

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Preseli Pembrokeshire:

    i)Tories win with 39.0% of the vote and if combined with Reform would get 42.9%.
    ii) Labour second with 34.6% but if combined with Plaid would have 54.1%

    Carmarthen West & Pembrokeshire South:

    i) Tories win with 35.5% of the vote and if combined with Reform and UKIP would get 39.9%
    ii) Labour second with 32.6% but if combined with Plaid would get 53.5%

    I know it still doesn't work like that but in another universe Labour and Plaid have taken one of those seats each rather than losing both to Tories.

  23. #23

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Dreadful night for plaid , vote hardly moved here come the excuses

    Good night for Labour but great that drakeford will be stepping down to give a new vibrant leader a chance to pull away

    Laughing my arse off at the conservatives , cocky as feck , drooling on about the 22 stale years of Labour and all that crap

    Opinion polls in last few days of the election showing a gain in conservative support clearly brought out the good men and women of Wales to get to the polling stations and show up where it mattered to keep the tories out of power in Wales

    God bless you all

  24. #24

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    Dreadful night for plaid , vote hardly moved here come the excuses

    Good night for Labour but great that drakeford will be stepping down to give a new vibrant leader a chance to pull away

    Laughing my arse off at the conservatives , cocky as feck , drooling on about the 22 stale years of Labour and all that crap

    Opinion polls in last few days of the election showing a gain in conservative support clearly brought out the good men and women of Wales to get to the polling stations and show up where it mattered to keep the tories out of power in Wales

    God bless you all
    There were never going to be massive gains for Plaid. It's all about them becoming the serious left option in Wales and a long term plan for independence.

    Their manifesto was practically the same as Labour and independence will grow when hopefully Scotland and Ireland go.

  25. #25

    Re: Senedd election prediction

    I’m so pleased that my country men and women still want decency and values. England needs a good look at itself. Good on the Scots too.

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