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Hmmm. An unbiased & free draw comes out exactly in line with the UEFA rankings. The odds on that must be higher than a lottery win.
FIFA country seeding
6 Italy 1 v 67 North Macedonia 6
8 Portugal 2 v 37 Turkey 5
18 Sweden 3 v 31 Czech 4
19 Wales 4 v 30 Austria 3
34 Russia 5 v 27 Poland 2
38 Scotland 6 v 25 Ukraine 1
If it was true it would be weird, but they are not the order of seedings. If you are trying to propose a conspiracy theory I can debunk it easily. If FIFA fixed the draw do you really think they have made it impossible for Italy and Portugal to qualify?Originally Posted by Des Parrot
I know but it’s hell of a coincidence and the odds would have been astronomical. 1v6 2v5 3v4 4v3 5v2 6v1
A 1 in 720 chance, same as for any other draw.
However, it might be worth considering that the hardest part is probably getting the first 2/3 correct. Scotland and Wales were drawn first, so there was a 1/6 then 1/5 chance of getting the draws they did, so 1 in 30 chance of drawing the teams we did.
Next we have a 1/4 chance, then 1/3. Yes that moves the 1 in 30 to a 1 in 120 then a 1 in 360 overall, but a 1/4 probability isn't that unlikely, while a 1/3 chance is more likely again.
Once we get to Path C, it's a 50/50 chance of having the draw we did.
Best way to sell both matches and stop the rush for the possible final.
Sell a double ticket of which if we don’t make the final then the void ticket becomes valid for the next nations league home match.
What if people can't make the next nations league home match? Better to refund surely?
No.
Better that the money stays in the FAW. Maybe it can be used for another Nations match instead.
Doubt much would worry when they are acquiring there semi tickets.
Seems overly complicated to me (and probably the FAW)
I don’t think they are astronomical from a statistical POV. Considering half were seeded that line up had the exact same odds as any line up. More actually as Ukraine can’t play Russia.
Don’t we have around 24,000 red wall members?
If they got over 30000 members and then can’t guarantee all a ticket would be interesting? They’re still selling memberships too so you’d think they might need to cap the numbers? I doubt they do mind as selling the memberships brings the money in.
There were 5k more people at the Belgium game than for Belarus though despite them bundling the tickets together.
Hope this will be sold in the same old way with points given to people for away attendance, length of membership etc and a staggered timeslot to buy tickets. Some newer or less active members may miss out but I don't think they will be able to complain too much about that.
24,000 existing members, 3,000 away + segregation still leaves 6,000 available tickets, they’ll be a lot of new members signing up inan attempt to get those tickets.
Just move it to the Mill Stad?
Catatonia and Manics CDs on the PA
Fire boxes next to pitch
Sounds fantastic
If we are lucky, the 'phonics might play a few tunes before the game live from the pitch
I am going to have to dig out Daffodil hat
And drink 15 pints and five sambucca’sIf we are lucky, the 'phonics might play a few tunes before the game live from the pitch
I am going to have to dig out Daffodil hat
We may mock the leek waving, drunken, spew spouting knobheads who frequent the Arms Park but the Red Wall is catching up with its bucket hat clad, boot cut jeans wearing arses who think they're edgy because their sporting a Wales 1970 away top from Adidas.If we are lucky, the 'phonics might play a few tunes before the game live from the pitch
I am going to have to dig out Daffodil hat
Yes, I'm a miserable cuunt.
100% With you on that.
Yeah me too, the miserable cuunt
To be honest I was actually going to put that in my original message. I'm only 34 but I'm virtually Victor Meldrew already !Yeah me too, the miserable cuunt
I don't think I've even seen anyone over hype Wales on here really.
I'm with you on this. Bale has been average for years too
For Wales or overall? Because when he did play for Spurs last year his numbers were ridiculously good. Bale isn't close to average he's just had injury problems.
For Wales I meant. 👍🏻 Hattrick saved us against Belarus but other than that he's been average for Wales. I don't think we play to his strengths anymore, plays too deep for my liking.
I still would have him in my starting 11 every day of the week though.
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