Reply With QuoteI think people are fed up of the status quo as it's leading to worsening living standards so are going to the extremes on both sides.Originally Posted by JamesWales
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Looking at the results yesterday, three people did better than expected; Macron, Le Pen and in particular Melanchon.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_F...ntial_election
Issue for second round will be low turnout and where Melanchon's high vote goes. Barring something dramatic in the coming two weeks, I can't see any realistic way Le Pen wins though. A comfortable 55-45% win for Macron is my prediction.
It's notable how little support their centre-right and centre-left parties got. Lots have gone to Macron of course, but lots also drifting to more radical parties on the left and right.
Quite a good analysis here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-61064837
I think people are fed up of the status quo as it's leading to worsening living standards so are going to the extremes on both sides.
Macron was voted in to disrupt the status quo in the first place.
Haha, nice one, a globalist investment banker from Rothschild & Co disrupting the status quo
Economically at least he is France's Thatcher. He will win, but great swathes of voters won't vote for him. I genuinely think that had it been Macron v Melanchon then Melanchon may have won. He would have had a slightly better chance than Le Pen I think.
Big TV debate tonight live
Bugger the footy :
https://www.france24.com/en/france/2...with-tv-debate
I'm not changing my prediction, but apparently Guadaloupe,Martinique and French Guyana have voted heavily for Le Pen. Guadaloupe 70%-30%.
In the first round two weeks ago Guadaloupe voted heavily for Melanchon. In 2017 in the second round it was 75-25% for Macron. A dramatic change, although I dont think it will be reflected nationwide
Projections saying Macron has won fifty eight per cent of the vote.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-61151604
and there was JamesWales saying Le Pen was definitely going to win
I think James said Macron would win 55-45 in fairness.
DON'T RUIN MY FISHING TRIP CYRIL
Why don't you just make things up? Oops, I forgot, you already do
You think using capitols (sorry capitals) will spare you my future stalking?DON'T RUIN MY FISHING TRIP CYRIL
Oops sorry. I didn't realise there was an audience.DON'T RUIN MY FISHING TRIP CYRIL
What I meant to say was this 58/42 vote is obviously a big steal caused by millions of unregistered ballots on Les Machines Dominiones. The WEF kinder Macron and his crime family was installed by Schwab as part of the Great Reset to continue the depopulation plan through vaccines and stopping Russia selling gas.
Le Pen needs more lead in her pencil.
Condolences to the British media and brexiters.
The incumbent Trump admiring nationalist leader in Slovenia beaten as well;-
https://www.politico.eu/article/jane...nian-election/
28% did not vote , either could claim that vacant vote , both candidates moved towards each others views this time to capture those floaters , Le Pen I sure will feel the better as the increase in her vote share is much noticeable than Macron's ,so some warnings are there , their versions of local regional elections will be of great interest ?
Clear win for Macron, by a slightly higher margin than most thought, albeit a clear shift towards Le Pen from 2017 - something has to change as the wind is all blowing in that direction. Interestingly, Macron is strongest amongst older people so if anything demographics are shifting against him.
Will be interesting (for election geeks) with the French general elections in June. What I don't really understand is why Le Pen and Melanchons party don't do so well in these elections and lose half their vote in the second rounds. As such, Melanchons party only has 17MPs and Le Pens only 8. I'm not sure why there is a huge dispartity in people who vote for her as president but not for the parties MPs? Would have thought it would be the opposite if anything.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_F...ative_election
A fantastic result for the technocrats considering his approval rating was only 36%. Going by those numbers, Boris would achieve an overwhelming victory if he went to the polls tomorrow.
that doesn't make much sense
You don't have to be popular to dominate on election day, and Boris is only a few points below Macron in the not so popular stakes.
Boris is toast, only a matter of when not if, fat blonde coiffured leaders are in decline or already toasted
He is very useful to certain people, so I'm guessing he will finish his tasks before he finally ducks out.
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