6 games to go - a look back at the last 20 Championship seasons

[Eric the Half a Bee]

The game v Derby already looks like itll be massive. and with fulham/forest both winning midweek it does look like just one place up for grabs now.

Yes, the top 5 won't be caught by anyone below Derby. Mathematically Derby could catch Forest or Fulham, but the 7 point deficit Derby has to both sides has never been made up in 20 years. The biggest point margin that has been overhauled from this point was 6 points. Funnily enough, the team to miss out had 67 points that season. A point for guessing which side bollocksed things up so spectacularly.....

So I agree. There's a less than 5% chance of Forest or Fulham missing out.