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Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

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  • #16
    Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

    Originally posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    Plaid would need to win a high number of seats to bargain for a split leadership , that's not going to happen

    The best they can hope for is a junior coalition place and implementation of some of their socialist policies , which is fine by me

    If Labour had a decent leader they would , even with bad times going on , win the election outright


    As it is drakeford is seen as out of touch and old school by many and unbelievably the tories will win seats , but not enough
    There's more of a chance of that than there is of a Tory FM. I didn't say it was definitely going to happen, only that there's a chance

    YouGov, who regularly poll Wales, have it down as 26 Labour seats and 17 for Plaid. That's a very solid position for Plaid to bargain from considering there's no other obvious coalition partner for Labour, with Drakeford stepping down, a split Ministership just makes sense. Not saying that's definitely how it'll play out, but a Plaid in the high teens is hardly unthinkable

    Labour have never won an overall majority at a Senedd election. They've had popular leaders and unpopular leaders in that time and never managed more than 30 seats, I don't see why this would change if, say, Eluned Morgan was in charge right now

    Like I said, I don't think the split FM thing will definitely happen, but its definitely more likely than RT Davies as First Minister

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    • #17
      Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

      Originally posted by Tuerto View Post
      Who are the 'Many' that see Drakeford as 'Out Of Touch' and 'Old School' I'm not saying that people don't feel that way, But who are the 'Many' You must speak to thousands of people.
      You just have to browse social media , you will see that is the impression , even among Labour voters

      Even on here he's been called duckford , dickford

      He's no leader , might be a nice bloke but he's no leader like Carwyn Jones was

      You can gauge peoples opinions on the Internet and multi media far quicker than talking to people in the street

      Comment


      • #18
        Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

        Originally posted by life on mars View Post
        The question is why
        its because the left of centre alternative to the tories in Wales, as in England, is piss weak

        Even in Wales, there are people that are tories

        I would shoot them if that were legal but sadly it isn't

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

          Originally posted by City123 View Post
          There's more of a chance of that than there is of a Tory FM. I didn't say it was definitely going to happen, only that there's a chance

          YouGov, who regularly poll Wales, have it down as 26 Labour seats and 17 for Plaid. That's a very solid position for Plaid to bargain from considering there's no other obvious coalition partner for Labour, with Drakeford stepping down, a split Ministership just makes sense. Not saying that's definitely how it'll play out, but a Plaid in the high teens is hardly unthinkable

          Labour have never won an overall majority at a Senedd election. They've had popular leaders and unpopular leaders in that time and never managed more than 30 seats, I don't see why this would change if, say, Eluned Morgan was in charge right now

          Like I said, I don't think the split FM thing will definitely happen, but its definitely more likely than RT Davies as First Minister
          she would be head and shoulders the best leader Welsh Labour has had

          There is a chance but the maths need to add up

          And I don't think that will happen

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

            Originally posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
            You just have to browse social media , you will see that is the impression , even among Labour voters

            Even on here he's been called duckford , dickford

            He's no leader , might be a nice bloke but he's no leader like Carwyn Jones was

            You can gauge peoples opinions on the Internet and multi media far quicker than talking to people in the street
            So Facebook and Bluetit on here. Cheers for the info.

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

              Originally posted by Tuerto View Post
              So Facebook and Bluetit on here. Cheers for the info.
              No , there is a huge swathe of information and opinions out there and generally it gives a fairly good idea of whats afoot

              Why do you think door to door canvassing is becoming a thing of the past ?

              Wales online is crap and takes ages to load but flick through that from time to time and you will understand that although he's done his best and had to fight off continual attacks , he's put his foot in it too many times and even among Labour voters he's not very popular

              Its just the way it is

              Comment


              • #22
                Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                Originally posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
                Plaid would need to win a high number of seats to bargain for a split leadership , that's not going to happen

                The best they can hope for is a junior coalition place and implementation of some of their socialist policies , which is fine by me

                If Labour had a decent leader they would , even with bad times going on , win the election outright


                As it is drakeford is seen as out of touch and old school by many and unbelievably the tories will win seats , but not enough
                Plaid wont win the required seats this election but I expect within the next 3 elections they could well do in areas that are considered Labour heartlands.

                More youngsters are indy curious or support the idea.

                Why they're interested in politics instead of doing drugs and shagging, I have no idea.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                  Originally posted by Jordi Culé View Post
                  Plaid wont win the required seats this election but I expect within the next 3 elections they could well do in areas that are considered Labour heartlands.

                  More youngsters are indy curious or support the idea.

                  Why they're interested in politics instead of doing drugs and shagging, I have no idea.
                  I think there's an opportunity for a Welsh version of the SNP to do well here. The seeds are being sown. Some of the problems that have held Plaid back are being eroded. Still think that too many in Wales hold too much of an allegience to Britain, not Wales, but that's their choice. We're not as patriotic as the Scots.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                    Originally posted by Eric the Half a Bee View Post
                    I think there's an opportunity for a Welsh version of the SNP to do well here. The seeds are being sown. Some of the problems that have held Plaid back are being eroded. Still think that too many in Wales hold too much of an allegience to Britain, not Wales, but that's their choice. We're not as patriotic as the Scots.
                    My niece is 21. She seemed energised by Corbyn. Although Welsh Labour are more traditional ‘Labour’ than Starmer, I think some of the newish voters don’t differentiate between them or have had a ****full of Westminster?

                    I’ve always been Labour but my vote is going Plaid. My issue with leaving the Union was always I wouldn’t want to make those already struggling worse off. With Boris & co leeching the country and no credible opposition in Starmer, I don’t see how an independent Wales could be? I know some will throw in economical statistics but let’s be blunt here the Tory led UK government is living on the never - never with squillions of pounds of debt. Wales might as well do that?

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                      Originally posted by Jordi Culé View Post
                      My niece is 21. She seemed energised by Corbyn. Although Welsh Labour are more traditional ‘Labour’ than Starmer, I think some of the newish voters don’t differentiate between them or have had a ****full of Westminster?

                      I’ve always been Labour but my vote is going Plaid. My issue with leaving the Union was always I wou,don’t want to make those already struggling worse off. With Boris & co leeching the country and no credible opposition in Starmer, I don’t see how an independent Wales could be? I know some will throw in economical statistics but let’s be blunt here the Tory led UK government is living on the never - never with squillions of pounds of debt. Wales might as well do that?
                      There with you 100%.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                        I don’t think Drakeford has done too much wrong but he can sound arrogant at times and is not charismatic. That he is infinitely more competent and honest than the clown in London goes without saying. Don’t even get me started on RT.

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                          Originally posted by Jordi Culé View Post
                          Plaid wont win the required seats this election but I expect within the next 3 elections they could well do in areas that are considered Labour heartlands.

                          More youngsters are indy curious or support the idea.

                          Why they're interested in politics instead of doing drugs and shagging, I have no idea.
                          Indeed I was completely off my face till my mid forties ff sake

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                            Originally posted by Dave Blue View Post
                            I don’t think Drakeford has done too much wrong but he can sound arrogant at times and is not charismatic. That he is infinitely more competent and honest than the clown in London goes without saying. Don’t even get me started on RT.
                            RT saying he wanted a pint with the bloke who designed Colin the Caterpillar last week was up there wasn’t it?

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                              Originally posted by Eric the Half a Bee View Post
                              There with you 100%.
                              where are we going to get the income from to fund infrastructure , health , housing , welfare ?

                              We are one of the poorest post industrial regions of the UK

                              Most of our population is centered in the south east corner of Wales

                              The figures for independence don't add up

                              These marches for a independent Wales would be attended by thousands of people week in week out if there was an appetite for an independent Wales

                              We hear this from the nationalists all the time but at election time this supposed silent wave bottle it

                              The best future for Wales, and Scotland lies in a left of centre democratic rainbow type of government in Westminster

                              the independent plaid cymru power base is a few seats in West and North Wales

                              Despite many Welsh mafia strolling up and down cathedral Road in pontcanna South East Wales is generally a Labour stronghold with a sprinkling of tories

                              I can't see plaid increasing their vote this time , its all hot hair

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: Eluned Morgan , Next Labour Leader In Wales , I hope

                                Originally posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
                                its because the left of centre alternative to the tories in Wales, as in England, is piss weak

                                Even in Wales, there are people that are tories

                                I would shoot them if that were legal but sadly it isn't
                                Never , Tories in Wales surely not , are they all evil people , will they harm us ,should I buy a weapon ??

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