I doubt sleaze will have much of an impact.

The vaccine roll out will.

And an ineffective leader of the opposition who has been at war with large sections of his own membership since he took over.

As a card carrying (but disillusioned and very marginalised) member of the Labour Party, I expect a grim set of results. It didn't need a cynical deployment of gunboats in the Channel, but no doubt that will also play for the teflon buffoon in NO 10.