This thread starts with a distortive headline.
Hayward is a respected Tory pollster with a decent record in predicting electoral outcomes. Here he made the, in my view, reasonable argument that if the Ukraine invasion and conflict is still going on in May, voters may be less inclined to punish the Tory Party at the polls. Conversely if it isn't then the National Insurance rises, energy increases etc will come more into focus as domestically driven.
Obviously if you have a strong track record in swallowing and regurgitating Russian talking points and/or want to further the drivel that the invasion/commodity rises et al are all part of the plan under the 2021/22 Conspiracy Theory Ballon D'Or winner, The Great Reset, then you may have cause to be a fast and loose with the facts.
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/sa...ctions-1521238