Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
I guessed on one of these threads a few weeks ago that the Democrats would be badly hurt by alienated progressive/Arab/Muslim voters abstaining rather than switching to Trump or to one of the third party candidates.

I haven't looked in detail at most of the results, but in Michigan (the swing state that was most likely to punish the Democrats for arming Netanyahu) the Democrat vote was well down, whilst the combined Jill Stern and Cornell West vote was only half of the Republican majority (Kennedy and Chase would not have benefitted from that particular section of the electorate switching).

It looks like a significant part of the Biden vote just stayed at home.
With just one state left to declare, it looks like Trump will match his 2020 number of voters with a very small number, by the standards we’re talking here, either way and the Democrats vote will have dropped by around 14 million (j make that about 16 per cent). Where did that vote go? Some died or were unable to vote for some reason and it seems 3 per cent voted for other candidates. That would only Account for well under half of the Democrats lost votes though and, just like over here with the Tories, it seems like the majority of those who deserted the party just didn’t bother voting. Labour lost MPs because of former voters of theirs voting against them because of their attitude towards Gaza and I’m sure a fairly significant number of former Democrat voters in America’s abstention (or maybe votes cast for Trump) were for that reason, but my guess is that the economy followed by the worldwide kickback against incumbent Governments were the main causes.

Some have suggested something dodgy happened, but I see Biden has talked of having as smooth a transition as possible and I think it unlikely that there has been anything underhand at play.