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Thread: Government Minister Resignation

  1. #51

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    If the government ever had a plot on 'welfare reform' (other than making budget cuts) they have totally lost it today!

    It started as an incoherent and contradictory mess - and they have managed to make an even bigger dogs breakfast out of it.

    And made Liz Kendall look even more of a clown in the process (the latest changes/concessions completely undermine most of her pitch earlier in the day).

    This is a failure of policy, party management, and having a narrative (controlled or not). Shambles!
    Haven’t they just. Leave the yah boo stuff to one side, the politics and management of it all has been abysmal, to the extent that there are still plenty of rebels not supporting their party and the policy has just become a joke. I used to think that the last Government was the worst one I’ve seen at the art of politics, but this lot are probably worse.

  2. #52

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    HavenÂ’t they just. Leave the yah boo stuff to one side, the politics and management of it all has been abysmal, to the extent that there are still plenty of rebels not supporting their party and the policy has just become a joke. I used to think that the last Government was the worst one IÂ’ve seen at the art of politics, but this lot are probably worse.
    It has been a shambles.

    This debacle has probably killed any chance of reform of the benefits system in this parliament.

    I expect labour will just take their medicine and opt to absorb the ballooning welfare bill by cutting elsewhere now, kicking the can down the road for someone else to deal with.

    Then we might see what cuts really look like...

  3. #53

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Is it true the concessions will actually end up costing more money? If so it's one of the most tragic comedies I can remember in British politics in recent years.

    A great example of a win being a loss

  4. #54

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    It has been a shambles.

    This debacle has probably killed any chance of reform of the benefits system in this parliament.

    I expect labour will just take their medicine and opt to absorb the ballooning welfare bill by cutting elsewhere now, kicking the can down the road for someone else to deal with.

    Then we might see what cuts really look like...
    As a percentage of gdp the welfare bill hasn't risen much since 2008

    The promise to triple lock costs absolutely crazy amounts of money

    And of course the deliberate blurring between out of work payments and ill health benefits is disgraceful ...playing to the crowd

    If starmer and Reeves had introduced a freeze to certain benefits for 2 years and genuinely entered into dialogue with disability groups then things would have been very different

    A survey by electoral calculus yesterday .....one of the best poll analysts ....said labour just needed to pull back the voters who had left to the liberals and the greens and they would still win the election

    But after this complete shambles and back stabbing then unless starmer is axed and the cabinet sent packing they have absolutely no chance . None of the main players have any respect . What idiots Kendal, Timms , Nandy , Reynolds, Alexander , Rayner have looked lying through their teeth defending this bill .....shameful and embarrassing

    They have shot themselves in the foot and alienated so many supporters who were clinging on desperately

    They have looked like sunaks government , in its last few months

    The talk of the next election being 4 years away is irrelevant now , I am praying he soon walks the plank

  5. #55

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Is it true the concessions will actually end up costing more money? If so it's one of the most tragic comedies I can remember in British politics in recent years.

    A great example of a win being a loss
    It's possible I guess because there are provisions in the bill committing to spending. Depends which way you look at it, we know the cost of pip is going to balloon by the end of the parliament and this bill was only going to mitigate that, it wasn't a cut at all so if the question is whether pip will cost more next year than last year the answer will be yes.

    The problem for labour is now what wiggle room do they actually have in any of their major budgets? Health - none, welfare - none, etc.

    So it's tax rises (beyond the usual fiscal drag tax rise), borrowing more for day to day spending or canning infrastructure spending.

  6. #56

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    It's possible I guess because there are provisions in the bill committing to spending. Depends which way you look at it, we know the cost of pip is going to balloon by the end of the parliament and this bill was only going to mitigate that, it wasn't a cut at all so if the question is whether pip will cost more next year than last year the answer will be yes.

    The problem for labour is now what wiggle room do they actually have in any of their major budgets? Health - none, welfare - none, etc.

    So it's tax rises (beyond the usual fiscal drag tax rise), borrowing more for day to day spending or canning infrastructure spending.
    What a mess.

  7. #57

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    It's possible I guess because there are provisions in the bill committing to spending. Depends which way you look at it, we know the cost of pip is going to balloon by the end of the parliament and this bill was only going to mitigate that, it wasn't a cut at all so if the question is whether pip will cost more next year than last year the answer will be yes.

    The problem for labour is now what wiggle room do they actually have in any of their major budgets? Health - none, welfare - none, etc.

    So it's tax rises (beyond the usual fiscal drag tax rise), borrowing more for day to day spending or canning infrastructure spending.
    Defence

    Spending ridiculous amounts of money on bombs is nonsense

    Increasing high tech defence of computer systems is great and far more cost effective

  8. #58

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
    It's possible I guess because there are provisions in the bill committing to spending. Depends which way you look at it, we know the cost of pip is going to balloon by the end of the parliament and this bill was only going to mitigate that, it wasn't a cut at all so if the question is whether pip will cost more next year than last year the answer will be yes.

    The problem for labour is now what wiggle room do they actually have in any of their major budgets? Health - none, welfare - none, etc.

    So it's tax rises (beyond the usual fiscal drag tax rise), borrowing more for day to day spending or canning infrastructure spending.
    55 percent of welfare budget is on pensioners

    165 billion compared to the 5 billion savings they tried to scrounge off people in wheelchairs .....outrageous double standards from all of them


    The triple lock is a disaster ..get rid of it or make it a double lock

    Lots of room to save billions and billions there

    The simple fact is a lot of people on welfare and disability are marginalised and dont have the power of the pensioners lobby ......its not only pensioners who have paid taxes and saved....the discrimination and finger pointing is hypocritical

    Welfare payments being generally means tested might bean option with a far better grading .....

    If someone is disabled but wealthy its just as stupid to award them 5k a year for taxis as it is to give a wealthy pensioner 200 quid towards an electricity bill which ends up being used for chocolates and sweets for the grandchildren

  9. #59

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    55 percent of welfare budget is on pensioners

    165 billion compared to the 5 billion savings they tried to scrounge off people in wheelchairs .....outrageous double standards from all of them


    The triple lock is a disaster ..get rid of it or make it a double lock

    Lots of room to save billions and billions there

    The simple fact is a lot of people on welfare and disability are marginalised and dont have the power of the pensioners lobby ......its not only pensioners who have paid taxes and saved....the discrimination and finger pointing is hypocritical

    Welfare payments being generally means tested might bean option with a far better grading .....

    If someone is disabled but wealthy its just as stupid to award them 5k a year for taxis as it is to give a wealthy pensioner 200 quid towards an electricity bill which ends up being used for chocolates and sweets for the grandchildren
    👍Totally agree! Means testing is the sensible way forward

  10. #60
    International jon1959's Avatar
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    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    I was listening to a podcast at the weekend where a pollster was saying Labour have lost three times as many supporters to the Lib Dems and Greens (and Independents) as they have to Reform - even though the Labour drop matches the Reform rise it has not in the main been a direct switch.

    That trend will get bigger after the latest 'Welfare Reform' fiasco and the pledge to support the arms industry at a level not seen for three generations!

  11. #61

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    I was listening to a podcast at the weekend where a pollster was saying Labour have lost three times as many supporters to the Lib Dems and Greens (and Independents) as they have to Reform - even though the Labour drop matches the Reform rise it has not in the main been a direct switch.

    That trend will get bigger after the latest 'Welfare Reform' fiasco and the pledge to support the arms industry at a level not seen for three generations!
    Agree and the probable outcome would be some kind of "rainbow coalition from hell" with strange bedfellows. We have a very divided country (World even?)

  12. #62

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    I was listening to a podcast at the weekend where a pollster was saying Labour have lost three times as many supporters to the Lib Dems and Greens (and Independents) as they have to Reform - even though the Labour drop matches the Reform rise it has not in the main been a direct switch.

    That trend will get bigger after the latest 'Welfare Reform' fiasco and the pledge to support the arms industry at a level not seen for three generations!
    I listened to it as well. It all sounded bleeding obvious to me, but Starmer’s Labour don’t seem to understand that and are fixated by Reform - if there were an election today, I’d vote Green, Plaid or, possibly, Lib Dem and Labour should be far more worried about losing life time supporters like me than they are.

  13. #63
    International jon1959's Avatar
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    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    John McDonnell's analysis of Labour's lack of leadership, vision, principle and basic competence is (I think) interesting.

    His description of the way the Labour Party has been hijacked and gutted is one I recognise. He also thinks there is a high chance of a palace coup against Starmer sooner rather than later.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...john-mcdonnell

  14. #64

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    I was listening to a podcast at the weekend where a pollster was saying Labour have lost three times as many supporters to the Lib Dems and Greens (and Independents) as they have to Reform - even though the Labour drop matches the Reform rise it has not in the main been a direct switch.

    That trend will get bigger after the latest 'Welfare Reform' fiasco and the pledge to support the arms industry at a level not seen for three generations!
    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/..._20250630.html

    At best a minority government or coalition

    I think thats wildly optimistic

    Unless starmer is kicked out , Dracula in a pink suit will be prime minister

  15. #65

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    John McDonnell's analysis of Labour's lack of leadership, vision, principle and basic competence is (I think) interesting.

    His description of the way the Labour Party has been hijacked and gutted is one I recognise. He also thinks there is a high chance of a palace coup against Starmer sooner rather than later.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...john-mcdonnell
    I quite like John McDonnell on a personal level, but Im not sure he's the best person to advise on hijacking parties and unity etc..or maybe he is?!

    Do you think there's any chance of a split? Starting to feel like there is a growing body of MPs on the left of the party who are happy to rebel. A good example of some parties having too large a majority to govern effectively really.

    I can't see any formal split but it's starting to feel like a party within a party

  16. #66

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    I was listening to a podcast at the weekend where a pollster was saying Labour have lost three times as many supporters to the Lib Dems and Greens (and Independents) as they have to Reform - even though the Labour drop matches the Reform rise it has not in the main been a direct switch.

    That trend will get bigger after the latest 'Welfare Reform' fiasco and the pledge to support the arms industry at a level not seen for three generations!
    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/..._20250630.html

    At best a minority government or coalition

    I think thats wildly optimistic

    Unless starmer is kicked out , Dracula in a pink suit will be prime minister

  17. #67

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    I quite like John McDonnell on a personal level, but Im not sure he's the best person to advise on hijacking parties and unity etc..or maybe he is?!

    Do you think there's any chance of a split? Starting to feel like there is a growing body of MPs on the left of the party who are happy to rebel. A good example of some parties having too large a majority to govern effectively really.

    I can't see any formal split but it's starting to feel like a party within a party
    Leadership challenge first , see some teeth

    Then a split if nothing comes of it

  18. #68

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    Leadership challenge first , see some teeth

    Then a split if nothing comes of it
    Who would you want to challenge him?

  19. #69

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    55 percent of welfare budget is on pensioners

    165 billion compared to the 5 billion savings they tried to scrounge off people in wheelchairs .....outrageous double standards from all of them


    The triple lock is a disaster ..get rid of it or make it a double lock

    Lots of room to save billions and billions there

    The simple fact is a lot of people on welfare and disability are marginalised and dont have the power of the pensioners lobby ......its not only pensioners who have paid taxes and saved....the discrimination and finger pointing is hypocritical

    Welfare payments being generally means tested might bean option with a far better grading .....

    If someone is disabled but wealthy its just as stupid to award them 5k a year for taxis as it is to give a wealthy pensioner 200 quid towards an electricity bill which ends up being used for chocolates and sweets for the grandchildren
    You aren't going to find me disagreeing with much of that. Double lock might make next to no difference unless you strip out the right markers.

    But the real point is that no government can do it. You saw what happened when they tried to do anything to the pensioner cohort, useful idiots working minwage jobs backed them up, people just don't understand how much the wealth of different demographics have shifted since triple lock was introduced.

    The only lever the government has is fiscal drag on income tax because most people don't see it happening.

    If pip is a payment to support additional spending due to a health condition then it needs to be woven into the NHS (with adequate information and resources). They can then make an assessment as to whether to issue treatment or a payment, it will force the NHS to evolve to a society where mental health is prevalent and provides a trusted layer.

    The reality is that the majority of people on pip aren't working, whether they could be is obviously an individual thing but at a basic level, it has become an additional payment to people on uc predominantly and I don't think that was the intention.

    And to answer your earlier point re: gdp, this bill was always about pre-empting and mitigating spending increases. I have no issue with people calling it a shambles but from a process perspective governments should be working with the future in mind and we rarely see it.

  20. #70

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Who would you want to challenge him?
    Stella Creasey, Peter Lamb , Meg Hillier

    I wouldn't want any of the old school corbyn wing but I think they are so important for attacking the right and tory lite creeps currently ruling the roost

    The people who have switched to liberal and green are not going to be won back by any starmer clones

    Lisa Nandy is a real let down , I had high hopes for her several years ago

  21. #71

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    Stella Creasey, Peter Lamb , Meg Hillier

    I wouldn't want any of the old school corbyn wing but I think they are so important for attacking the right and tory lite creeps currently ruling the roost

    The people who have switched to liberal and green are not going to be won back by any starmer clones

    Lisa Nandy is a real let down , I had high hopes for her several years ago
    Interesting. I've never even heard of the bloke there. Stella Creasy seems alright but no PM.

    I think they would all let you down. Thats the reality of government.

    The money saved yesterday will now be found elsewhere. Probably from council tax. That means less money in people's pockets, less growth etc. There's no easy solutions and we are in such a mess, as it should be said, are many Western nations.

  22. #72

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Who would you want to challenge him?
    Stella Creasey, Peter Lamb , Meg Hillier

    I wouldn't want any of the old school corbyn wing but I think they are so important for attacking the right and tory lite creeps currently ruling the roost

    The people who have switched to liberal and green are not going to be won back by any starmer clones

    Lisa Nandy is a real let down , I had high hopes for her several years ago

  23. #73

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    Stella Creasey, Peter Lamb , Meg Hillier

    I wouldn't want any of the old school corbyn wing but I think they are so important for attacking the right and tory lite creeps currently ruling the roost

    The people who have switched to liberal and green are not going to be won back by any starmer clones

    Lisa Nandy is a real let down , I had high hopes for her several years ago
    Yeah you told us this earlier 😂😉

  24. #74

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Interesting. I've never even heard of the bloke there. Stella Creasy seems alright but no PM.

    I think they would all let you down. Thats the reality of government.

    The money saved yesterday will now be found elsewhere. Probably from council tax. That means less money in people's pockets, less growth etc. There's no easy solutions and we are in such a mess, as it should be said, are many Western nations.
    Meg Hillier would also be better

    A tin of beans

    Anything would be better than starmer

  25. #75

    Re: Government Minister Resignation

    Starmer throws his Chancellor under the bus, but, incredibly for a PM with such a big majority, I’m beginning to think he could be gone by the next election.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics...el-reeves-pmqs

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