Senedd election prediction

[SLUDGE FACTORY]

Plaid is the obvious choice for any left leaning voter disillusioned with Labour, that's the message I'm getting from friends of mine.

I know lots of people who still vote Labour but want independence, but Sludge won't have that.

We will see tomorrow if left leaning Labour voters have deserted Labour for plaid

Or the Labour vote has gone to the tories

If people want independence then why are they voting Labour and not plaid ?

They sound like crackpots

[Eric the Half a Bee]

We will see tomorrow if left leaning Labour voters have deserted Labour for plaid

Or the Labour vote has gone to the tories

If people want independence then why are they voting Labour and not plaid ?

They sound like crackpots

Is it not because independence isn't an issue in this election and it is possible to support independence and vote for someone other than Plaid?

I also think it's too simplistic to suggest that Labour will only lose votes to the Tories (and hence Plaid don't pick up or lose voters accordingly).

[City123]

Is it not because independence isn't an issue in this election and it is possible to support independence and vote for someone other than Plaid?

I also think it's too simplistic to suggest that Labour will only lose votes to the Tories (and hence Plaid don't pick up or lose voters accordingly).

I think the next election might be the "independence election", especially if Scotland goes. The surge has come too late for it to really impact this one, especially considering the current conditions

[Eric the Half a Bee]

I think the next election might be the "independence election", especially if Scotland goes. The surge has come too late for it to really impact this one, especially considering the current conditions

Yes, agreed. Covid is the real issue for this election. There is also the perception by some that Plaid = nationalism, yet independence doesn't = nationalism and that it's entirely possible to be interested in independence without being a nationalist.