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The only figures they are giving is for people tested , when we cant test the people in the front line ,our NHS workers , then , the figures mean nothing.
I remember them saying one person could contaminate 400 people in a very short period , it gives an idea how far out the figures are.
I hope you are right. but latest figures as of Saturday indicates that South Wales could be a hot spot for Covid-19
In England on Saturday the health authority with most cases was Birmingham 1138 cases and a population in the authority of 1.1 m. Approx 1 cases per 1000 population
Cardiff and Vale with a population of approx 495,000 had 723 cases as of Saturday, equivalent to 1 per 684 of the population. If you include todays figures we are 1 case in approx 500....ie in a CCFC stadium of 20,000 fans 40 people would have it....
These are recorded cases. Example, I develop a cough. I stay home. I get better. I had covid-19. I am not counted in your figure.
Example. I have no symptoms. But, I do have covid-19. I am not counted in these figures.
There are complex models that will have a degree of accuracy in terms of number of people infected - the one I saw last week said 2.7%. I would suggest that is more accurate than the figures you are quoting. Do you really think only 1138 people in Birmingham have had it?
I've read they think 10% of the population has had it, if so there is a hell of a way to go?
Originally with the herd immunity theory they talked of 60% of the population getting it, mainly children and workers, it would bring it to a halt?
It seems a bit low to me but we certainly won't get to 100%.