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QPR in 22nd have 24 points. That's lower than average after 28 games. Even with the usual rally of sides in trouble, it would be a major surprise if a side went down with 48 points. I reckon 10 points would do, from 18 games. Even with us playing as shit as we have been, I reckon we can win 3 games from the last 18, including the usual surprise win against someone when we didn't expect it.
For us to go down we'd probably need to lose 15 of our last 18 games. Now, while I'm not sure about Bulut and, my reservation about sacking him is more down to who the club would bring in, I don't see us being that poor between now and the end of the season.
I suppose if you look at it that way Eric, and you have obviously sat there and worked out how many points we need, then yes even with Purse in charge we could scrape to safely. The problem being is at the moment, without Ramsey, I can't see where one win is coming from let alone three. Or am I being unduly pessimistic?
Lets hope 'the usual surprise win against someone when we didn't expect it' is against the jacks at the Liberty.
It can be difficult, when the team are playing poorly, when it seems there are few positives, to see where the next win will come from. Statistically we could go down.
Shortest odds I've seen on oddschecker for us to be relegated is 33/1. If we lose our next 6, we might start to worry.