Welsh Elections 2021 poll

[life on mars]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

I'd like to vote Labour but I can't after some of the rubbish Drakeford has done and also endorsing anti-Brexit Starmer somewhat and I can't vote for Plaid as they're nationalistic idiots

So it's a choice between Tories or not voting.

A dilemma indeed and a poser for a lot I guess , I personally don't support nationalism,don't like Drakeford type politics .

[life on mars]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

Joel Williams. Currently councillor for Pontprennau and St Mellons. He’s young, but impressive. He’s running for Cardiff North in the assembly elections I believe. Think he will go far.

I've met him , he is so young , very switched on, not your usual Tory

[cityhammer]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

A lot of Plaid placards up in Cardiff West, I spoke to someone in the party and its over 160 there already compared to just 80 last time. A lot of polls have put Cardiff West as switching to Plaid based on uniform swing but I can't see it, but the amount of placards up suggests they may do well.

In my view, Plaid are the real threat to Labour, not the Conservatives. The places where Welsh national identity is strongest are all in the Valleys and if Plaid can tap into that then Labour are in real trouble.

No chance Plaid will win Cardiff West.
2 years ago they'd have walked it, but McEvoy had the support last time out, not Plaid.

[Wozza16]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

What is the canvassing/placards like where everyone is? Is there more presence of alternative parties? Plaid seem to be pushing a lot harder than previously with social media, broadcasting etc and seen Adam Price has been out a fair bit but not much from Drakeford and RT?

[blue sky]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

No chance Plaid will win Cardiff West.
2 years ago they'd have walked it, but McEvoy had the support last time out, not Plaid.

No, Plaid Cymru AND McEvoy had the support last time. In the first two Senedd (aka Assembly) elections Plaid got 14% of the vote in Cardiff West. These elections occurred before McEvoy was deselected by Labour and before he joined Plaid Cymru.

Given the demographic changes (more Welsh-speakers in Canton now than ever before), Plaid Cymru will almost certainly get at least 15% of the vote in the constituency.

[City123]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

No chance Plaid will win Cardiff West.
2 years ago they'd have walked it, but McEvoy had the support last time out, not Plaid.

I'm not so sure on this. McEvoy helped Plaid but the assumption that everyone he helped pull to the party will switch isn't realistic.

McEvoy is also fairly unlikely to win, he has little support outside Ely, Fairwater & Caerau.

As blue sky pointed out, Plaid & McEvoy had the support, not just McEvoy. They've always had ~15% of the vote. I don't think they'll win Cardiff West but I don't think it should be written off completely. If the Labour vote is decimated in the areas McEvoy is targeting then it's very much game on

Plaid have been very active in the constituency as well, Plaid and Propel have fought the hardest campaign imo. Barely seen Labour but I've seen Plaid & McEvoy out campaigning

[life on mars]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

Not good reading even with a slight improvement for our children's education.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-50629432

I'm sure health is also an under performing area and was before Covid , which probably attributed to our ability to cope with Covid and other diseases.

[blue sky]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

I'm not so sure on this. McEvoy helped Plaid but the assumption that everyone he helped pull to the party will switch isn't realistic.

McEvoy is also fairly unlikely to win, he has little support outside Ely, Fairwater & Caerau.

As blue sky pointed out, Plaid & McEvoy had the support, not just McEvoy. They've always had ~15% of the vote. I don't think they'll win Cardiff West but I don't think it should be written off completely. If the Labour vote is decimated in the areas McEvoy is targeting then it's very much game on

Plaid have been very active in the constituency as well, Plaid and Propel have fought the hardest campaign imo. Barely seen Labour but I've seen Plaid & McEvoy out campaigning

McEvoy flopped spectacularly and, as I predicted, Plaid got at least 15% of the vote. Bring on the council elections! I cant wait to finish McEvoy and Propel off permanently. Labour outperformed Propel in Fairwater and Ely (according to Plaid Cymru sampling during Friday’s count) so the fat-jowled fraud will have to work very hard to keep hold of his party’s seats next year

[life on mars]

Re: Welsh Elections 2021 poll

What is the canvassing/placards like where everyone is? Is there more presence of alternative parties? Plaid seem to be pushing a lot harder than previously with social media, broadcasting etc and seen Adam Price has been out a fair bit but not much from Drakeford and RT?

Lots Labour and Plaid , Tories not keen to show to avoid any nasties.