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How the Senedd would look From the Recent Poll 2000 people Opinion Research Sky News Project :
How Senedd Would Look, If Accurate :
Labour: 29 seats (same as 2016)
Conservatives: 19 seats (up 8 on 2016)
Plaid Cymru: 10 seats (down two on 2016)
Lib Dem: 1 (no change)
Ukip: 1 (down six)
Who people said they would vote for in their constituency
Labour : 40% (up 5%)
Conservatives : 30% (up 9%)
Plaid Cymru : 19% (down 2%)
Other party : 7% (down 8%)
Lib Dem : 4% (down 4%)
(Figures in brackets compared to 2016)
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First Minister Poll :
Mark Drakeford (Labour) 29%
Andrew RT Davies (Conservatives): 10%
Adam Price (Plaid Cymru): 8%
Neil Hamilton (Ukip): 3%
Jane Dodds (Liberal Democrats) 3%
However, 14% said none of the major leaders would be the best First Minister, while 32% did not know.
Should Wales be an Independent country?
The poll showed that 52% would vote no and 28% would vote yes for independence. Of those asked, 14% said they did not know and 5% would not vote.
Of those who said they voted Plaid Cymru in the General Election in 2019, 29% would not vote for Welsh independence and 17% did not know. It would mean 51% of party supporters asked would vote yes, with 46% saying no or did not know. Those who said they would not vote, having previously supported Plaid Cymru, totalled 3%.
How Senedd Would Look, If Accurate :
Labour: 29 seats (same as 2016)
Conservatives: 19 seats (up 8 on 2016)
Plaid Cymru: 10 seats (down two on 2016)
Lib Dem: 1 (no change)
Ukip: 1 (down six)
Who people said they would vote for in their constituency
Labour : 40% (up 5%)
Conservatives : 30% (up 9%)
Plaid Cymru : 19% (down 2%)
Other party : 7% (down 8%)
Lib Dem : 4% (down 4%)
(Figures in brackets compared to 2016)
.
First Minister Poll :
Mark Drakeford (Labour) 29%
Andrew RT Davies (Conservatives): 10%
Adam Price (Plaid Cymru): 8%
Neil Hamilton (Ukip): 3%
Jane Dodds (Liberal Democrats) 3%
However, 14% said none of the major leaders would be the best First Minister, while 32% did not know.
Should Wales be an Independent country?
The poll showed that 52% would vote no and 28% would vote yes for independence. Of those asked, 14% said they did not know and 5% would not vote.
Of those who said they voted Plaid Cymru in the General Election in 2019, 29% would not vote for Welsh independence and 17% did not know. It would mean 51% of party supporters asked would vote yes, with 46% saying no or did not know. Those who said they would not vote, having previously supported Plaid Cymru, totalled 3%.
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