Macron v Le Pen

[JamesWales]

Looking at the results yesterday, three people did better than expected; Macron, Le Pen and in particular Melanchon.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_French_presidential_election

Issue for second round will be low turnout and where Melanchon's high vote goes. Barring something dramatic in the coming two weeks, I can't see any realistic way Le Pen wins though. A comfortable 55-45% win for Macron is my prediction.

It's notable how little support their centre-right and centre-left parties got. Lots have gone to Macron of course, but lots also drifting to more radical parties on the left and right.

Quite a good analysis here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-61064837

[Doucas]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Looking at the results yesterday, three people did better than expected; Macron, Le Pen and in particular Melanchon.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_French_presidential_election

Issue for second round will be low turnout and where Melanchon's high vote goes. Barring something dramatic in the coming two weeks, I can't see any realistic way Le Pen wins though. A comfortable 55-45% win for Macron is my prediction.

It's notable how little support their centre-right and centre-left parties got. Lots have gone to Macron of course, but lots also drifting to more radical parties on the left and right.

Quite a good analysis here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-61064837

I think people are fed up of the status quo as it's leading to worsening living standards so are going to the extremes on both sides.

[Taunton Blue Genie]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

I think people are fed up of the status quo as it's leading to worsening living standards so are going to the extremes on both sides.

Macron was voted in to disrupt the status quo in the first place.

[Wales-Bales]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Macron was voted in to disrupt the status quo in the first place.

Haha, nice one, a globalist investment banker from Rothschild & Co disrupting the status quo

[JamesWales]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Macron was voted in to disrupt the status quo in the first place.

Economically at least he is France's Thatcher. He will win, but great swathes of voters won't vote for him. I genuinely think that had it been Macron v Melanchon then Melanchon may have won. He would have had a slightly better chance than Le Pen I think.

[life on mars]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Big TV debate tonight live

[life on mars]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Bugger the footy :

https://www.france24.com/en/france/20220420-watch-on-france-24-french-presidential-race-enters-final-lap-with-tv-debate

[JamesWales]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Looking at the results yesterday, three people did better than expected; Macron, Le Pen and in particular Melanchon.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_French_presidential_election

Issue for second round will be low turnout and where Melanchon's high vote goes. Barring something dramatic in the coming two weeks, I can't see any realistic way Le Pen wins though. A comfortable 55-45% win for Macron is my prediction.

It's notable how little support their centre-right and centre-left parties got. Lots have gone to Macron of course, but lots also drifting to more radical parties on the left and right.

Quite a good analysis here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-61064837

I'm not changing my prediction, but apparently Guadaloupe,Martinique and French Guyana have voted heavily for Le Pen. Guadaloupe 70%-30%.

In the first round two weeks ago Guadaloupe voted heavily for Melanchon. In 2017 in the second round it was 75-25% for Macron. A dramatic change, although I dont think it will be reflected nationwide

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Projections saying Macron has won fifty eight per cent of the vote.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-61151604

[delmbox]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

Projections saying Macron has won fifty eight per cent of the vote.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-61151604

and there was JamesWales saying Le Pen was definitely going to win

[cyril evans awaydays]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

and there was JamesWales saying Le Pen was definitely going to win

I think James said Macron would win 55-45 in fairness.

[delmbox]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

I think James said Macron would win 55-45 in fairness.

DON'T RUIN MY FISHING TRIP CYRIL

[Wales-Bales]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

and there was JamesWales saying Le Pen was definitely going to win

Why don't you just make things up? Oops, I forgot, you already do

[cyril evans awaydays]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

DON'T RUIN MY FISHING TRIP CYRIL

You think using capitols (sorry capitals) will spare you my future stalking?

[cyril evans awaydays]

Re: Macron v Le Pen

DON'T RUIN MY FISHING TRIP CYRIL

Oops sorry. I didn't realise there was an audience.

What I meant to say was this 58/42 vote is obviously a big steal caused by millions of unregistered ballots on Les Machines Dominiones. The WEF kinder Macron and his crime family was installed by Schwab as part of the Great Reset to continue the depopulation plan through vaccines and stopping Russia selling gas.