My predictions for the new season

[BLUETIT]

Re: My predictions for the new season

My opinion is that there will be minimum movement both at City & elsewhere. Maybe a couple moved out and a couple of loans.

WBA & FULHAM will go straight back up. Peterborough & the play-off winners straight back down.

What makes you come conclusion ?

The 7 loanees they got, have played the majority of their games and I can't see any of them staying, so that means they have to recruit a new squad to play in a league which will be a different type of football.
They were lucky to go up last season, another 10 minutes and we would have scored, in the second leg. They were on the rack.

And, Brentford never turned up for the final.

[The Hooded Claw]

Re: My predictions for the new season

What makes you come conclusion ?

The 7 loanees they got, have played the majority of their games and I can't see any of them staying, so that means they have to recruit a new squad to play in a league which will be a different type of football.
They were lucky to go up last season, another 10 minutes and we would have scored, in the second leg. They were on the rack.

And, Brentford never turned up for the final.

Parachute payments?

[Rjk]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Parachute payments?

yep, straight off the bat, before they've even sold a ticket they have £45 million more to play with than us.
their budget for the season is likely to be about 3 times what ours is.
the fact they had a lot of loanees means they have a high degree of flexibility now in how to spend it.

[BLUETIT]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Parachute payments?

yep, straight off the bat, before they've even sold a ticket they have £45 million more to play with than us.
their budget for the season is likely to be about 3 times what ours is.
the fact they had a lot of loanees means they have a high degree of flexibility now in how to spend it.

So the AGENTS can start robbing them blind, before a contract is printed.

The championship, is a strange olde league.

Who would have predicted Barnsley in the top 6

[splott parker]

Re: My predictions for the new season

So the AGENTS can start robbing them blind, before a contract is printed.

The championship, is a strange olde league.

Who would have predicted Barnsley in the top 6

Dickie Bird & Michael Parkinson

[NYCBlue]

Re: My predictions for the new season

The way football teams are run these days puts Fulham at a massive advantage in the loan market. They can take their pick of players available from the massive PL rosters on loan all over London. Chelsea alone have over 30 players out on loan this season.

[Moodybluebird]

Re: My predictions for the new season

I would be more than a little surprised if Morrison is allowed to leave, mainly because he possesses the leadership qualities MM will heavily rely upon if we are going to be introducing more youngsters into the team.

Of the others mentioned, the only real loss would be Keiffer Moore. Based on his goals this season and his international standing I don't think a bid of under £10m would be accepted by the club, at least I hope not.

The Championship is an unpredictable league at the best of times but with Covid massively affecting the finances of all clubs, next season promises to be the most unpredictable ever.

Player recruitment for next season is key so let's all hope that MM is up to the challenge.

[jon1959]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Transfer fees and wages will be depressed across all leagues - a good thing. We don't know yet what the new football economy will look like - but comparisons with previous seasons (even last summer under Covid) will be apples and pears. Income and player costs down, even if most other costs are unchanged.

There will be a lot more players available out of contract as clubs reduce bloated squad sizes. A buyers market with a bigger pool of available talent at a lower cost, and less likelihood of generating big fees from sales. Moore and Morrison (not Murphy) the most saleable - but even then the benchmarks from previous windows may not apply.

If Cardiff is in Covid trouble because of reduced revenues (with parachute payments last season and Tan's backing) how much worse will it be for two thirds of other Championship clubs? Relegated clubs with parachute payments may find it harder than normal to reduce their costs through player sales.

We have got the most talented batch of youth players in a decade coming through the academy - and it seems a willingness to bring them into the first team.

Overall I don't see why we should be pessimistic about the summer and next season. I will be disappointed if Moore is sold (don't think Morrison will go and doubt there will be takers for Murphy willing to pay a significant fee), but with youth players coming through, out of contract and loan players leaving, and new loans and free transfers joining, I expect us to be in the play off fight again.

One thing is sure, the Mick McCarthy honeymoon is now over and he can now reshape the team the way he wants. Judge him then.

[blue lewj]

Re: My predictions for the new season

A few on here think Bennett will be offered a new deal but I'm not so certain.

Sentiment aside, in the cold light of day he is a full back who has a very serious injury.
I know many feel we owe him something but if he was at another club and negotiating with us then got that serious an injury we would simply move on.

[xsnaggle]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Transfer fees and wages will be depressed across all leagues - a good thing. We don't know yet what the new football economy will look like - but comparisons with previous seasons (even last summer under Covid) will be apples and pears. Income and player costs down, even if most other costs are unchanged.

There will be a lot more players available out of contract as clubs reduce bloated squad sizes. A buyers market with a bigger pool of available talent at a lower cost, and less likelihood of generating big fees from sales. Moore and Morrison (not Murphy) the most saleable - but even then the benchmarks from previous windows may not apply.

If Cardiff is in Covid trouble because of reduced revenues (with parachute payments last season and Tan's backing) how much worse will it be for two thirds of other Championship clubs? Relegated clubs with parachute payments may find it harder than normal to reduce their costs through player sales.

We have got the most talented batch of youth players in a decade coming through the academy - and it seems a willingness to bring them into the first team.

Overall I don't see why we should be pessimistic about the summer and next season. I will be disappointed if Moore is sold (don't think Morrison will go and doubt there will be takers for Murphy willing to pay a significant fee), but with youth players coming through, out of contract and loan players leaving, and new loans and free transfers joining, I expect us to be in the play off fight again.

One thing is sure, the Mick McCarthy honeymoon is now over and he can now reshape the team the way he wants. Judge him then.

Agree completely.

And of course the mercurial tomlin will be fit again and in amongst it (Allegedly )

[Jimmy the Jock]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Transfer fees and wages will be depressed across all leagues - a good thing. We don't know yet what the new football economy will look like - but comparisons with previous seasons (even last summer under Covid) will be apples and pears. Income and player costs down, even if most other costs are unchanged.

There will be a lot more players available out of contract as clubs reduce bloated squad sizes. A buyers market with a bigger pool of available talent at a lower cost, and less likelihood of generating big fees from sales. Moore and Morrison (not Murphy) the most saleable - but even then the benchmarks from previous windows may not apply.

If Cardiff is in Covid trouble because of reduced revenues (with parachute payments last season and Tan's backing) how much worse will it be for two thirds of other Championship clubs? Relegated clubs with parachute payments may find it harder than normal to reduce their costs through player sales.

We have got the most talented batch of youth players in a decade coming through the academy - and it seems a willingness to bring them into the first team.

Overall I don't see why we should be pessimistic about the summer and next season. I will be disappointed if Moore is sold (don't think Morrison will go and doubt there will be takers for Murphy willing to pay a significant fee), but with youth players coming through, out of contract and loan players leaving, and new loans and free transfers joining, I expect us to be in the play off fight again.

One thing is sure, the Mick McCarthy honeymoon is now over and he can now reshape the team the way he wants. Judge him then.

No chance .
We will continue to be dire .
Crowds will refuse to come back into the stadium to watch hoofball.

[dml1954]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Firstly, surely the majority of the parachute payments are paid towards the end of each subsequent season after relegation. That means that the second yearly payment that we are due (over £30m) is around now and this money will be available to carry us through into next season. Therefore our next years budget will not be as dire as people are predicting. Secondly, why would anyone in their right mind be as pessimistic as the OP. From what has been said there is no indication that players like Moore or Morrison want to or will be sold. There is also no indication that Tan is going to stop funding the club or transfers altogether either. Budgets will be lower all around the leagues and the fact that we have some good young players coming through will obviously help. Players will leave but only if deemed surplus to requirements and if Moore is sold then I am confident that the money will be used to bring in replacements. PS. The negativity and pessimism on this board is truly staggering at times.

[Rjk]

Re: My predictions for the new season

Firstly, surely the majority of the parachute payments are paid towards the end of each subsequent season after relegation. That means that the second yearly payment that we are due (over £30m) is around now and this money will be available to carry us through into next season. Therefore our next years budget will not be as dire as people are predicting. Secondly, why would anyone in their right mind be as pessimistic as the OP. From what has been said there is no indication that players like Moore or Morrison want to or will be sold. There is also no indication that Tan is going to stop funding the club or transfers altogether either. Budgets will be lower all around the leagues and the fact that we have some good young players coming through will obviously help. Players will leave but only if deemed surplus to requirements and if Moore is sold then I am confident that the money will be used to bring in replacements. PS. The negativity and pessimism on this board is truly staggering at times.

Why would you assume that the parachute payments are paid at the end of the year?
I've never seen anything to suggest that was the case.
In any case we will receive about 35 million less next season than we will this season, so we will need to budget accordingly.

[cardiff55]

Re: My predictions for the new season

If we got rid of those players suggested by the OP, then we'd be relegated. If we had all the kids playing we'd get hammered every week.

But we will have Tomlin, and in he's not injured, and if he's fit(!), and if he plays superbly in every game(!), someone might buy him next January. Oh look....a Flying Pig.