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  • Afghan

    A population of about 40m people

    How many realistically are going to flee to other countries?

  • #2
    Re: Afghan

    Originally posted by WJ99mobile View Post
    A population of about 40m people

    How many realistically are going to flee to other countries?
    About 5%-10% maybe. The majority to neighbouring countries. Will be interesting to see what happens with Turkey / Greece.

    Depends on what the Taliban are like mind and if they even try to prevent people leaving..they may even encourage it.

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    • #3
      Re: Afghan

      Originally posted by JamesWales View Post
      About 5%-10% maybe. The majority to neighbouring countries. Will be interesting to see what happens with Turkey / Greece.

      Depends on what the Taliban are like mind and if they even try to prevent people leaving..they may even encourage it.
      What are you basing 5-10% on?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Afghan

        Very few as a percentage I'd guess. The very most desperate and those with little reason to stay.

        One reporter was walking around the centre yesterday, shops were open, girls were walking around chatting, people were sitting down for ice cream and coffee. Looked fairly civilised.

        I'm aware the situation in other areas of the city is very different, certainly other reports from rural areas but to some Afghans it's not yet the all out carnage the media portrays.

        I'm sure it will get worse, particularly for females.

        Taliban PR is in overdrive at the moment, when the cameras and attention goes though so will the planes and people will be stuck there.

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        • #5
          Re: Afghan

          Originally posted by Croesy Blue View Post
          What are you basing 5-10% on?
          Just a guess. But I think the Syrian civil war was about 25% of its population fleeing abroad. The Taliban will either be very repressive or horrific but if a war doesn't ensue then you wouldn't anticipate numbers as high as Syria.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Afghan

            Originally posted by WJ99mobile View Post
            A population of about 40m people

            How many realistically are going to flee to other countries?
            40 million ?? 70k ish Taliban , perhaps they are a lot more Taliban friendlies / believers in Afghanistan than we really appreciate ?

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            • #7
              Re: Afghan

              Originally posted by life on mars View Post
              40 million ?? 70k ish Taliban , perhaps they are a lot more Taliban friendlies / believers in Afghanistan than we really appreciate ?
              How many of the people "fleeing" might in fact be terrorists going into european countries as sleepers?
              No that wouldnt happen would it? It couldnt could it?

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Afghan

                Originally posted by xsnaggle View Post
                How many of the people "fleeing" might in fact be terrorists going into european countries as sleepers?
                No that wouldnt happen would it? It couldnt could it?
                You mean as part of the evacuees? I think they're just taking those who had worked with our side, but it looks chaotic so not impossible that someone could sneak through.

                But really, what's the alternative? Help no one, just in case?

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                • #9
                  Re: Afghan

                  Originally posted by xsnaggle View Post
                  How many of the people "fleeing" might in fact be terrorists going into european countries as sleepers?
                  No that wouldnt happen would it? It couldnt could it?
                  A humanitarian crisis and all you're concerned about is imagined "sleepers"?

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                  • #10
                    Re: Afghan

                    Forgetting all the news spin and propaganda, most won’t flee because they’re perfectly happy living in the way they’ve lived and chosen to live for centuries and millennia .

                    We might not like it, but it’s still their choice and if they preferred our ways they’d have adopted them long ago.

                    In the same way as you probably don’t want them to come here and introduce shariah law in your street, truth is they don’t want anyone to go there and introduce feminism , abortion or gay marriage.

                    We must try and rescue the people our governments have alienated from their own people and mourn the poor soldiers who’s lives were thrown away on this horrible latter day crusade, but accept that if they wanted our customs and supervision , they wouldn’t have chucked us out.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Afghan

                      Originally posted by az city View Post
                      A humanitarian crisis and all you're concerned about is imagined "sleepers"?
                      I remember the same being said (by the same people) about Syrians.

                      The fact is, we are more susceptible to terrorism now, and the Taliban are quite capable of getting people into Europe further down the line. They don't need to sneak sleepers on these planes.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Afghan

                        Originally posted by RonnieBird View Post
                        Forgetting all the news spin and propaganda, most won’t flee because they’re perfectly happy living in the way they’ve lived and chosen to live for centuries and millennia .

                        We might not like it, but it’s still their choice and if they preferred our ways they’d have adopted them long ago.

                        In the same way as you probably don’t want them to come here and introduce shariah law in your street, truth is they don’t want anyone to go there and introduce feminism , abortion or gay marriage.

                        We must try and rescue the people our governments have alienated from their own people and mourn the poor soldiers who’s lives were thrown away on this horrible latter day crusade, but accept that if they wanted our customs and supervision , they wouldn’t have chucked us out.
                        You honestly think ordinary Afghans have a free choice over the way they live? That's utter bollocks.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Afghan

                          Do you have a free choice how you live then ?

                          Not a matter of everyone suddenly doing what they want, but if there were an appetite for “democracy “ it’d have gradually worked its way in over centuries as it has in the West.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Afghan

                            Originally posted by RonnieBird View Post
                            Do you have a free choice how you live then ?

                            Not a matter of everyone suddenly doing what they want, but if there were an appetite for “democracy “ it’d have gradually worked its way in over centuries as it has in the West.
                            Maybe one of the stupidest posts we’ve ever had on here fair play.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Afghan

                              By the way, it’s ****ng ridiculous to jump on what I posted as if I’m defending or recommending fundamental Islam then simply ignore the fact that what I said is true and practical.

                              Comment

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