expected threat (xT)

[Rjk]

here's an article from a few years ago talking about xT, nicely illustrated by an excellent mesut ozil pass for arsenal.

https://karun.in/blog/expected-threat.html

whereas xG usually just looks at the shot at the end of the move, this tried to look at each pass or movement in the game and the effect of it.

follow up question for anyone interested enough to read it - can you guess who has the highest xT per 90 in the Cardiff squad this season.....

[xsnaggle]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Smithies? :shrug:
OK I admit, I haven't read it.

[Rjk]

Re: expected threat (xT)

nice guess, expected snaggle, but no.

[Croesy Blue]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Josh Murphy?

[the other bob wilson]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Think it must be someone who would come as quite a surprise. Sean Morrison? Joe Bennett?

[surge]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Joe Ralls?

[uncle bob]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Pack

[WJ99mobile]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Has to be Tomlin

[The Bloop]

Re: expected threat (xT)

I'd guess at someone who's now elsewhere- Glatzel

[Rjk]

Re: expected threat (xT)

Joe Ralls?

correct - Joe Ralls, followed by Will Vaulks

[Rjk]

Re: expected threat (xT)

I'd guess at someone who's now elsewhere- Glatzel

he's almost last, among with Moore. I guess that's due to generally being on the end of moves rather than creating them

[Rjk]

Re: expected threat (xT)

20210218_093131.jpg

[City123]

Re: expected threat (xT)

correct - Joe Ralls, followed by Will Vaulks

Would the long throws have anything to do with that?