Tories with majority of 18 . Corbyn has done much better than expected and Teresa has had a nightmayre..
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Leonidis Fortunae Westocrates
Tories with majority of 18 . Corbyn has done much better than expected and Teresa has had a nightmayre..
I am pessimistic about turnout.
The raw polling returns show a Tory lead down to about 4%. When that is adjusted to reflect the track record of older voters actually voting and younger voters not, that lead goes up to 10%+
All the political analysis podcasts I have heard in the last few weeks say this election will be more polarised on generational grounds than ever seen in modern times. Labour is way ahead in younger age brackets in all areas of the country; the Tories lead with the older. The cross-over age is about 50.
I just have a niggling hope that Corbyn will turn out to be the surprise anti-establishment candidate that gets non-voters into the polling booths (the Brexit/Trump/Saunders effect), but I fear it will be the usual story of exaggerated Labour numbers, shy or embarrassed Tories placing their cross and crushing disappointment when the dust settles.