(BCG) vaccine helping fight Corvid 19 ??

[the other bob wilson]

True, and small changes in the model will have huge implications in later projections. There's lots of models, I'm wondering why they chose to go with this one.

I daresay because 66,000 UK deaths, a figure that was nearly three and a half times higher than in any other European country, does grab your attention at a time when most of the projections I've seen lately have been saying something like 20,000 or lower.