Quote Originally Posted by CCFCC3PO View Post
I wouldn't even call it a second wave if cases rise. The first, and current, wave has not died away.
Okay, let's not say second wave then, but if we go into a sustained period of six thousand plus new cases a day, then it would almost certainly indicate an increase in the R and, consequently an eventual rise in the death rate. This is something that I am not aware of happening in comparable countries (i.e. ones without very small populations) so far, there's always been a gradual decline after the rates plateaued elsewhere, if it shouldn't be called a second wave, it would be a second something.

As I mentioned, there has to be a good chance that yesterday's high figure on a low testing day, by recent standards, is a one off or a short term increase caused by returns gradually coming in from those 40,000 test packs that were sent out on 30 April, but I bet there will be a lot of official interest in today's figure in the hope that we are not seeing the beginning of something unexpected.